Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 22/08, 23:00

Prediction: Corinthians (W) vs Internacional (W)

Team pages: Corinthians (W) · Internacional (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Corinthians (W)2.21
Internacional (W)0.62
1X2
73% 18% 9%
Corinthians (W) Draw Internacional (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Corinthians (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWWWWD
Internacional (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWWWLLWLDL
Head-to-head
Corinthians (W) 4–1–1 Internacional (W) (6 last)
  • Internacional (W)0-5Corinthians (W)
  • Corinthians (W)3-0Internacional (W)
  • Internacional (W)2-4Corinthians (W)
  • Corinthians (W)1-1Internacional (W)
  • Internacional (W)2-0Corinthians (W)
  • Corinthians (W)2-1Internacional (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corinthians (W) 1602 · Internacional (W) 1518
Corinthians (W)DrawInternacional (W)
Our model73%19%8%
Market74%17%9%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corinthians (W) (rating 1602 vs 1518).
  • H2H favours Corinthians (W): 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Corinthians (W)Internacional (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 0.81.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.20.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)90/0/10%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.22.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.23.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Corinthians (W) 411 Internacional (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/06/25
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Internacional (W)0-5
HT 0-2
Corinthians (W)
30/03/24
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Corinthians (W)3-0
HT 1-0
Internacional (W)
11/02/24
Brazil Supercopa Women
Internacional (W)2-4
HT 2-3
Corinthians (W)
19/10/23
Copa Libertadores Women
Corinthians (W)1-1
HT 0-1
Internacional (W)
24/04/23
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Internacional (W)2-0
HT 2-0
Corinthians (W)
09/02/23
Brazil Supercopa Women
Corinthians (W)2-1
HT 0-0
Internacional (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corinthians (W) 161222 411538
2 Sao Paulo (W) 161222 301138
3 Palmeiras (W) 161051 321135
4 Ferroviaria (W) 16862 221330
5 Bahia (W) 16844 281928
6 Cruzeiro (W) 16763 301927
7 Flamengo (W) 16763 251927
8 Fluminense RJ (W) 16745 221825
9 Gremio (W) 16736 221624
10 Internacional (W) 16736 181624
11 Bragantino (W) 16727 282523
12 Santos (W) 16556 202220
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 16448 162116
14 Mixto EC (W) 16268 102612
15 EC Juventude (W) 162410 72010
16 America MG (W) 161411 8327
17 EC Vitoria (W) 161411 14437
18 Botafogo (W) 161213 10375

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCorinthians (W)Internacional (W)
Bahia (W) 1-1 D 0-3 L
Santos (W) 4-1 W 3-0 W
Flamengo (W) 1-0 W 0-1 L
EC Vitoria (W) 4-0 W 2-2 D
Cruzeiro (W) 2-3 L 2-1 W
Ferroviaria (W) 3-1 W 1-2 L
EC Juventude (W) 1-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Corinthians (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corinthians (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 1-1 53 D
09/08 Santos (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-0 4-1 32 W
03/08 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 1-0 37 W
26/07 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-0 4-0 63 W
26/05 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
3-0 4-1 87 W
19/05 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-2 2-3 43 L
12/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-0 2-1 13 W
01/05 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 2-0 95 W
25/04 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 3-1 55 W
21/04 EC Juventude (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 1-0 81 W

Internacional (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-2 65 L
09/08 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-2 2-2 86 D
02/08 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-2 21 L
25/07 Fluminense RJ (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-0 27 W
23/05 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 81 L
16/05 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-3 0-3 67 L
11/05 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-0 21 W
01/05 Santos (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
3-0 3-0 34 W
26/04 EC Juventude (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-0 43 W
22/04 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 2-1 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corinthians (W) vs Internacional (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Corinthians (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Corinthians (W) 73%, draw 18%, Internacional (W) 9%.

How many goals are expected in Corinthians (W) vs Internacional (W)?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Corinthians (W) 2.21 · Internacional (W) 0.62), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Corinthians (W) vs Internacional (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.