Prediction: Sao Paulo (W) vs Mixto EC (W)
Team pages: Sao Paulo (W) · Mixto EC (W)
| Sao Paulo (W) | Draw | Mixto EC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 17% | 5% |
| Market | 80% | 13% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sao Paulo (W) (rating 1620 vs 1438).
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sao Paulo (W) | Mixto EC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.6 | 0.9 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians (W) | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo (W) | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (W) | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria (W) | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Bahia (W) | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 28 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro (W) | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 19 | 27 |
| 7 | Flamengo (W) | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 27 |
| 8 | Fluminense RJ (W) | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | Gremio (W) | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 16 | 24 |
| 10 | Internacional (W) | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 24 |
| 11 | Bragantino (W) | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 23 |
| 12 | Santos (W) | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico Mineiro (W) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 16 |
| 14 | Mixto EC (W) | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 12 |
| 15 | EC Juventude (W) | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 10 |
| 16 | America MG (W) | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 7 |
| 17 | EC Vitoria (W) | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 43 | 7 |
| 18 | Botafogo (W) | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 37 | 5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sao Paulo (W) | Mixto EC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Palmeiras (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sao Paulo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Botafogo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | Santos (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Bragantino (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | EC Vitoria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 28/07 | Mirassol (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Cruzeiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Vasco da Gama (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Palmeiras (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | Taubate (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 06/07 | Mauaense (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 2 | W |
Mixto EC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Cruzeiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | EC Juventude (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Atletico Mineiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Palmeiras (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 26/05 | Corinthians (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Gremio (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | Sociedade Acao (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Fluminense RJ (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sao Paulo (W) vs Mixto EC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sao Paulo (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Sao Paulo (W) 79%, draw 15%, Mixto EC (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Sao Paulo (W) vs Mixto EC (W)?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Sao Paulo (W) 2.27 · Mixto EC (W) 0.45), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sao Paulo (W) vs Mixto EC (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.