Football · Italy Serie D · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: Vigor Lamezia vs Reggina

Team pages: Vigor Lamezia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Vigor Lamezia0.76
Reggina1.67
1X2
16% 26% 58%
Vigor Lamezia Draw Reggina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Vigor Lamezia 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
DLLDDDWLDD
Reggina 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWDWWW
Head-to-head
Vigor Lamezia 2–0 Reggina (2 last)
  • Vigor Lamezia2-0Reggina
  • Reggina0-1Vigor Lamezia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vigor Lamezia 1498 · Reggina 1592
Vigor LameziaDrawReggina
Our model16%26%58%
Market16%25%59%
Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reggina (rating 1498 vs 1592).
  • H2H favours Vigor Lamezia: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Vigor LameziaReggina
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.42.1 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.20.8 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.83 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 04.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vigor Lamezia 200 Reggina

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/26
Italy Serie D
Vigor Lamezia2-0Reggina
19/10/25
Italy Serie D
Reggina0-1Vigor Lamezia

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 3300 1009
2 Nissa FC 3210 627
3 Igea Virtus 3210 1077
4 Sambiase 3210 427
5 Milazzo 3201 446
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 3120 725
7 Vibonese 3111 854
8 ASD CastrumFavara 3111 534
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 3111 654
10 Calcio Avola 1949 3102 383
11 ASD Ragusa 3021 462
11 Vigor Lamezia 3021 462
13 Città di Gela 3102 452
14 ASD Licata 3021 272
15 Modica 3012 241
16 Siracusa 3210 740
17 Enna Calcio 3003 090
18 Trapani 3003 07-5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVigor LameziaReggina
Nissa FC 1-3 L 0-0 D
Milazzo 0-0 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Reggina (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vigor Lamezia

DLLDDDWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 ASD Ragusa
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
12/09 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
2-2 D
06/09 Nissa FC
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-3 43 L
03/05 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
1-0 4-1 60 W
26/04 ASD Sancataldese
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
19/04 ACR Messina
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 23 D
15/04 Milazzo
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
12/04 AC Savoia 1908
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 24 L
29/03 Vibonese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 51 L
22/03 ASD Ragusa
Italy Serie D
1-1 D

Reggina

WDWWWWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 Calcio Avola 1949
Italy Serie D
2-0 4-0 53 W
13/09 Modica
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 68 W
06/09 ASD Licata
Italy Serie D
5-0 W
17/05 Nissa FC
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 27 D
03/05 Sambiase
Italy Serie D
2-0 4-2 41 W
26/04 Milazzo
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
19/04 ASD Paterno
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 75 W
15/04 Enna Calcio
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 57 W
12/04 Città di Gela
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 194 D
29/03 SSD Athletic Club Palermo
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 45 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vigor Lamezia vs Reggina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Reggina win (58%). Probabilities: Vigor Lamezia 16%, draw 26%, Reggina 58%.

How many goals are expected in Vigor Lamezia vs Reggina?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Vigor Lamezia 0.76 · Reggina 1.67), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vigor Lamezia vs Reggina?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.