Football · Italy Serie D · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Club Milano

Team pages: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo · Club Milano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1.18
Club Milano0.98
1X2
40% 31% 30%
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Draw Club Milano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DDDWLDWDDL
Club Milano 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WDWWLWLWLL
Head-to-head
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1–1–0 Club Milano (2 last)
  • Virtus Ciserano Bergamo2-2Club Milano
  • Club Milano2-3Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1486 · Club Milano 1497
Virtus Ciserano BergamoDrawClub Milano
Our model39%32%29%
Market40%30%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Virtus Ciserano BergamoClub Milano
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 11.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.50.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/67/0%14/57/29%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 3.42.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 03.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1–1–0 Club Milano

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/04/24
Italy Serie D
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo2-2Club Milano
26/11/23
Italy Serie D
Club Milano2-3
HT 2-3
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 4400 13012
2 Igea Virtus 4310 13810
3 Sambiase 4310 5210
4 Vibonese 4211 1157
5 Nissa FC 4211 867
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 4130 726
7 Milazzo 4202 456
8 Calcio Avola 1949 4202 7106
9 ASD Licata 4121 375
10 Modica 4112 344
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 4112 684
12 ASD CastrumFavara 4112 544
13 Città di Gela 4112 453
14 ASD Ragusa 4022 472
15 Vigor Lamezia 4022 492
16 Siracusa 4220 741
17 Enna Calcio 4013 091
18 Trapani 4004 110-5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVirtus Ciserano BergamoClub Milano
AC Chievo Verona 1-2 L 0-2 L
ASD Calcio Pavonese 1-1 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

DDDWLDWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/09 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 54 L
16/09 ASD Calcio Pavonese
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 23 D
12/09 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 32 D
06/09 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
03/05 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 22 D
26/04 Pavia
Italy Serie D
– 0-3 –– L
19/04 AVC Vogherese 1919
Italy Serie D
3-0 6-1 –– W
12/04 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 52 D
12/04 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
29/03 Sondrio
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D

Club Milano

WDWWLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 42 L
16/09 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 48 L
12/09 ASD Calcio Pavonese
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
06/09 ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 44 L
03/05 Asti
Italy Serie D
1-1 4-1 41 W
26/04 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
19/04 NovaRomentino
Italy Serie D
3-0 6-1 44 W
12/04 Cairese
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
02/04 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 92 D
28/03 Lavagnese
Italy Serie D
0-1 4-2 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Club Milano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win (40%). Probabilities: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 40%, draw 31%, Club Milano 30%.

How many goals are expected in Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Club Milano?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1.18 · Club Milano 0.98), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Club Milano?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.