Football · Italy Serie D · 27/09, 15:00
Prediction: AC Nardo vs Martina
Team pages: Martina
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
AC Nardo0.93
Martina1.2
1X2
AC Nardo
Draw
Martina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Nardo
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Martina
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AC Nardo
1–1–4
Martina
(6 last)
- Martina2-1AC Nardo
- AC Nardo1-1Martina
- Martina3-0AC Nardo
- AC Nardo1-2Martina
- Martina0-2AC Nardo
- AC Nardo1-2Martina
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AC Nardo 1491 · Martina 1496
| AC Nardo | Draw | Martina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 32% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 29% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Martina: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Nardo | Martina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/67/17% | 38/25/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.5 | 2.5 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Nardo 1–1–4 Martina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Italy Serie D Play-Offs | Martina | 2-1 HT 2-1 | AC Nardo |
| 11/01/26 Italy Serie D | AC Nardo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Martina |
| 14/09/25 Italy Serie D | Martina | 3-0 HT 2-0 | AC Nardo |
| 31/08/25 Italy Serie D Cup | AC Nardo | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Martina |
| 06/04/25 Italy Serie D | Martina | 0-2 HT 0-2 | AC Nardo |
| 24/11/24 Italy Serie D | AC Nardo | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Martina |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Nissa FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | ASD Licata | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 10 | Modica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | ASD CastrumFavara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Città di Gela | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | ASD Ragusa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 16 | Siracusa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| 18 | Trapani | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Nardo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Ischia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Melfi Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Ebolitana Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Bisceglie 1913 Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Barletta Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | ASD Ferrandina 17890 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Manfredonia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Sarnese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 02/04 | FC Pompei Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Virtus Francavilla Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Martina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Virtus Francavilla Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | Real Aversa 1925 Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Real Forio 2014 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | SS Turris Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Paganese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | SS Nola 1925 Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | ASD Heraclea Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Citta di Fasano Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | Real Aversa 1925 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Nardo vs Martina?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Martina win (42%). Probabilities: AC Nardo 28%, draw 31%, Martina 42%.
How many goals are expected in AC Nardo vs Martina?
The model expects 2.13 goals (AC Nardo 0.93 · Martina 1.2), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Nardo vs Martina?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.