Football · Italy Serie D · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: Real Calepina FC vs ASD Brusaporto

Team pages: Real Calepina FC · ASD Brusaporto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Real Calepina FC1.31

ASD Brusaporto1.19

1X2

39% 29% 33%

Real Calepina FC Draw ASD Brusaporto

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Calepina FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDLDWDDL

ASD Brusaporto 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Real Calepina FC 2–3–1 ASD Brusaporto (6 last)

Real Calepina FC1-0ASD Brusaporto
ASD Brusaporto0-3Real Calepina FC
Real Calepina FC3-3ASD Brusaporto
ASD Brusaporto1-1Real Calepina FC
Real Calepina FC0-1ASD Brusaporto
Real Calepina FC1-1ASD Brusaporto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Calepina FC 1522 · ASD Brusaporto 1488

	Real Calepina FC	Draw	ASD Brusaporto
Our model	38%	29%	32%
Market	39%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Real Calepina FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Calepina FC	ASD Brusaporto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/38/25%	29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.4	1.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.20

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:50 +6’	2.30	3.20	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Calepina FC 2–3–1 ASD Brusaporto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/01/26 Italy Serie D	Real Calepina FC	1-0 HT 1-0	ASD Brusaporto
14/09/25 Italy Serie D	ASD Brusaporto	0-3 HT 0-0	Real Calepina FC
31/08/25 Italy Serie D Cup	Real Calepina FC	3-3 HT 3-2	ASD Brusaporto
09/02/25 Italy Serie D	ASD Brusaporto	1-1 HT 0-1	Real Calepina FC
13/10/24 Italy Serie D	Real Calepina FC	0-1 HT 0-0	ASD Brusaporto
14/01/24 Italy Serie D	Real Calepina FC	1-1 HT 0-1	ASD Brusaporto

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	4	4	0	0	13	0	12
2	Igea Virtus	4	3	1	0	13	8	10
3	Sambiase	4	3	1	0	5	2	10
4	Vibonese	4	2	1	1	11	5	7
5	Nissa FC	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
6	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	4	1	3	0	7	2	6
7	Milazzo	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
8	Calcio Avola 1949	4	2	0	2	7	10	6
9	ASD Licata	4	1	2	1	3	7	5
10	Modica	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
11	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
12	ASD CastrumFavara	4	1	1	2	5	4	4
13	Città di Gela	4	1	1	2	4	5	3
14	ASD Ragusa	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
15	Vigor Lamezia	4	0	2	2	4	9	2
16	Siracusa	4	2	2	0	7	4	1
17	Enna Calcio	4	0	1	3	0	9	1
18	Trapani	4	0	0	4	1	10	-5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Calepina FC	ASD Brusaporto
ASD Caldiero Terme	2-2 D	2-1 W
US Folgore Caratese	1-1 D	3-1 W
US Breno	1-1 D	2-0 W
AC Milan U23	1-0 W	1-2 L
Oltrepò	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Brusaporto (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Calepina FC

LWDDLDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Piacenza Italy Serie D	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
16/09	ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D	–	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
06/09	Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D	3-1	5-1	0	1	W
03/05	Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
26/04	Sondrio Italy Serie D	–	1-5	–	–	L
19/04	US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie D	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
12/04	US Breno Italy Serie D	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
08/04	AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
02/04	Oltrepò Italy Serie D	0-1	0-1	4	3	L

ASD Brusaporto

LWLWWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	US Fiorenzuola Italy Serie D	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
16/09	AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D	0-1	1-2	9	3	L
12/09	Tritium Italy Serie D	1-1	2-1	0	6	W
06/09	AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
03/05	Oltrepò Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie D	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
19/04	US Breno Italy Serie D	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/04	AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D	–	0-4	–	–	L
02/04	ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
29/03	AC Chievo Verona Italy Serie D	0-0	0-1	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Calepina FC vs ASD Brusaporto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Calepina FC win (39%). Probabilities: Real Calepina FC 39%, draw 29%, ASD Brusaporto 33%.

How many goals are expected in Real Calepina FC vs ASD Brusaporto?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Real Calepina FC 1.31 · ASD Brusaporto 1.19), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Calepina FC vs ASD Brusaporto?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.