Prediction: Vigor Lamezia vs ASD CastrumFavara
Team pages: Vigor Lamezia · ASD CastrumFavara
- Vigor Lamezia1-2ASD CastrumFavara
- ASD CastrumFavara1-1Vigor Lamezia
| Vigor Lamezia | Draw | ASD CastrumFavara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASD CastrumFavara (rating 1455 vs 1497).
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vigor Lamezia | ASD CastrumFavara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.2 | 3.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vigor Lamezia 0–1–1 ASD CastrumFavara
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Italy Serie D | Vigor Lamezia | 1-2 HT 1-1 | ASD CastrumFavara |
| 02/11/25 Italy Serie D | ASD CastrumFavara | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Vigor Lamezia |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Igea Virtus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | ASD Licata | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Nissa FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Milazzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Siracusa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Modica | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | ASD CastrumFavara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | ASD Ragusa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | Vigor Lamezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| 18 | Trapani | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vigor Lamezia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Sambiase Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Reggina Italy Serie D |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | ASD Ragusa Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Igea Virtus Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Nissa FC Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Igea Virtus Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | ASD Sancataldese Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | ACR Messina Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/04 | Milazzo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
ASD CastrumFavara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Calcio Avola 1949 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Modica Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | ASD Licata Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Milazzo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Enna Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | ASD Paterno Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 12/04 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/04 | Acireale Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vigor Lamezia vs ASD CastrumFavara?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vigor Lamezia win (50%). Probabilities: Vigor Lamezia 50%, draw 26%, ASD CastrumFavara 24%.
How many goals are expected in Vigor Lamezia vs ASD CastrumFavara?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Vigor Lamezia 1.68 · ASD CastrumFavara 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Vigor Lamezia vs ASD CastrumFavara?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.