Football · Italy Serie D · 14/10, 15:00

Prediction: AC Milan U23 vs Piacenza

Team pages: AC Milan U23 · Piacenza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
AC Milan U231.41
Piacenza1.73
1X2
31% 25% 44%
AC Milan U23 Draw Piacenza
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Milan U23 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWLWWL
Piacenza 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWLWWLDWWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Milan U23 1515 · Piacenza 1577
AC Milan U23DrawPiacenza
Our model30%25%44%
Market31%24%45%
Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Piacenza (rating 1515 vs 1577).
  • High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC Milan U23Piacenza
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.31.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.40.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/63/13%57/29/14%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.92 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 04 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 7511 16216
2 Sambiase 7511 11516
3 Calcio Avola 1949 7502 111015
4 Vibonese 7421 16614
5 ASD Licata 7421 10914
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 7331 13512
7 Igea Virtus 7322 161411
8 Milazzo 7313 6910
9 Nissa FC 7232 10109
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 7223 10108
11 Siracusa 7421 1157
12 Modica 7214 7107
13 ASD CastrumFavara 7214 897
14 Città di Gela 7133 575
15 Vigor Lamezia 7124 7165
16 ASD Ragusa 7034 5103
17 Trapani 7205 3111
18 Enna Calcio 7016 0171

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Milan U23

LWLWWWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 52 L
20/09 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-1 26 W
16/09 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 63 W
12/09 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
06/09 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
0-1 4-3 33 W
03/05 AVC Vogherese 1919
Italy Serie D
5-0 10-1 122 W
26/04 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-1 54 W
19/04 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 63 L
12/04 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
– 4-0 –– W
08/04 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 83 L

Piacenza

DWLWWLDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 US Fiorenzuola
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 65 D
04/10 Scanzorosciate
Italy Serie D
1-0 4-0 64 W
20/09 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-1 34 W
16/09 AC Leon Monza Brianza
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 75 D
13/09 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 83 L
06/09 Tritium
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
03/05 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
0-1 3-1 114 W
26/04 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
19/04 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
3-0 3-1 53 W
12/04 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Milan U23 vs Piacenza?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Piacenza win (44%). Probabilities: AC Milan U23 31%, draw 25%, Piacenza 44%.

How many goals are expected in AC Milan U23 vs Piacenza?

The model expects 3.14 goals (AC Milan U23 1.41 · Piacenza 1.73), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Milan U23 vs Piacenza?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.