Football · Italy Serie D · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze FBC

Team pages: Sestri Levante · Celle Varazze FBC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Sestri Levante1.54
Celle Varazze FBC0.74
1X2
56% 27% 17%
Sestri Levante Draw Celle Varazze FBC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Sestri Levante 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLWLLDLW
Celle Varazze FBC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WWWWLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Sestri Levante 2–1 Celle Varazze FBC (3 last)
  • Celle Varazze FBC1-0Sestri Levante
  • Sestri Levante3-1Celle Varazze FBC
  • Sestri Levante3-0Celle Varazze FBC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sestri Levante 1463 · Celle Varazze FBC 1435
Sestri LevanteDrawCelle Varazze FBC
Our model55%28%17%
Market56%26%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sestri Levante: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sestri LevanteCelle Varazze FBC
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.50.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.20.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/17/83%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.71.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 04 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sestri Levante 2–0–1 Celle Varazze FBC

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Italy Serie D
Celle Varazze FBC1-0
HT 1-0
Sestri Levante
14/12/25
Italy Serie D
Sestri Levante3-1Celle Varazze FBC
31/08/25
Italy Serie D Cup
Sestri Levante3-0Celle Varazze FBC

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 6501 15115
2 Vibonese 6411 15513
3 Sambiase 6411 10513
4 Calcio Avola 1949 6402 91012
5 Igea Virtus 6321 141111
6 ASD Licata 6321 8811
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 6231 849
8 Milazzo 6303 589
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 6222 988
10 Nissa FC 6222 998
11 Modica 6213 657
12 Vigor Lamezia 6123 7135
13 Siracusa 6321 854
14 Città di Gela 6123 464
15 ASD CastrumFavara 6114 574
16 ASD Ragusa 6024 492
17 Trapani 6204 3101
18 Enna Calcio 6015 0151

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sestri Levante

LLLLWLLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Borgosesia
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 25 W
27/09 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
1-2 1-2 23 L
20/09 GSD Lascaris
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
16/09 USD Fezzanese
Italy Serie D
– 0-3 –– L
13/09 Alessandria
Italy Serie D
1-2 1-2 31 L
06/09 Asti
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
03/05 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
26/04 Celle Varazze FBC
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 83 L
19/04 Asti
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 13 L
12/04 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 62 L

Celle Varazze FBC

WWWWLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/10 AC Bra
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
04/10 Chisola
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-4 27 L
20/09 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 53 L
16/09 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-3 –– L
12/09 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
06/09 Derthona
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
03/05 ASD Imperia
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
26/04 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 23 W
19/04 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
12/04 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze FBC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sestri Levante win (56%). Probabilities: Sestri Levante 56%, draw 27%, Celle Varazze FBC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze FBC?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Sestri Levante 1.54 · Celle Varazze FBC 0.74), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze FBC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.