Football · Italy Serie D · 11/10, 16:00

Prediction: Tropical Coriano vs A.C. Crema 1908

Team pages: Tropical Coriano · A.C. Crema 1908

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Tropical Coriano1.56
A.C. Crema 19080.83
1X2
54% 27% 19%
Tropical Coriano Draw A.C. Crema 1908
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Tropical Coriano 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLWWWDDLLW
A.C. Crema 1908 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLDLDLLLLW
Head-to-head
Tropical Coriano 2–1 A.C. Crema 1908 (3 last)
  • A.C. Crema 19082-0Tropical Coriano
  • Tropical Coriano2-1A.C. Crema 1908
  • A.C. Crema 19081-2Tropical Coriano
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tropical Coriano 1525 · A.C. Crema 1908 1414
Tropical CorianoDrawA.C. Crema 1908
Our model53%28%19%
Market54%26%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tropical Coriano (rating 1525 vs 1414).
  • H2H favours Tropical Coriano: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tropical CorianoA.C. Crema 1908
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.90.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/14/43%17/17/67%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.62.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 03.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tropical Coriano 2–0–1 A.C. Crema 1908

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Italy Serie D Play-Offs
A.C. Crema 19082-0
HT 2-0
Tropical Coriano
15/02/26
Italy Serie D
Tropical Coriano2-1A.C. Crema 1908
12/10/25
Italy Serie D
A.C. Crema 19081-2Tropical Coriano

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 6501 15115
2 Vibonese 6411 15513
3 Sambiase 6411 10513
4 Calcio Avola 1949 6402 91012
5 Igea Virtus 6321 141111
6 ASD Licata 6321 8811
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 6231 849
8 Milazzo 6303 589
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 6222 988
10 Nissa FC 6222 998
11 Modica 6213 657
12 Vigor Lamezia 6123 7135
13 Siracusa 6321 854
14 Città di Gela 6123 464
15 ASD CastrumFavara 6114 574
16 ASD Ragusa 6024 492
17 Trapani 6204 3101
18 Enna Calcio 6015 0151

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTropical CorianoA.C. Crema 1908
Citta di Varese 1-1 D 3-2 W
Pro Palazzo 1-1 D 1-2 L
Piacenza 1-0 W 1-3 L
Pistoiese 1-0 W 1-3 L
Sangiuliano City FC 3-3 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Tropical Coriano (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tropical Coriano

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 44 W
16/09 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 48 L
12/09 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 23 L
06/09 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 67 D
03/05 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
26/04 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
19/04 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 23 W
12/04 Imolese
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
08/04 Desenzano
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 06 L
02/04 Sangiuliano City FC
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-3 75 D

A.C. Crema 1908

LLDLDLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
– 3-2 –– W
27/09 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
0-3 0-4 91 L
20/09 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-3 112 L
16/09 Pro Patria
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 34 L
13/09 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
– 1-3 –– L
06/09 Pavia
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 37 D
03/05 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-3 24 L
26/04 Correggese
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
19/04 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 24 L
12/04 Sangiuliano City FC
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tropical Coriano vs A.C. Crema 1908?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tropical Coriano win (54%). Probabilities: Tropical Coriano 54%, draw 27%, A.C. Crema 1908 19%.

How many goals are expected in Tropical Coriano vs A.C. Crema 1908?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Tropical Coriano 1.56 · A.C. Crema 1908 0.83), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tropical Coriano vs A.C. Crema 1908?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.