Prediction: Milazzo vs Sambiase
Team pages: Milazzo
- Milazzo0-1Sambiase
- Sambiase0-1Milazzo
| Milazzo | Draw | Sambiase | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 32% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sambiase (rating 1474 vs 1534).
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Milazzo | Sambiase | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 2.7 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Milazzo 1–0–1 Sambiase
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Italy Serie D | Milazzo | 0-1 | Sambiase |
| 07/12/25 Italy Serie D | Sambiase | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Milazzo |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Nissa FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Igea Virtus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Sambiase | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vibonese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | ASD CastrumFavara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | ASD Ragusa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 11 | Vigor Lamezia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | Città di Gela | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Modica | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Siracusa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 | Trapani | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Milazzo | Sambiase |
|---|---|---|
| Enna Calcio | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Reggina | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| ASD Paterno | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Milazzo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Milazzo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Enna Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | ASD Ragusa Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | ASD CastrumFavara Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | ACR Messina Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Reggina Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Sambiase Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/04 | Vigor Lamezia Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | ASD Paterno Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/04 | Enna Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Sambiase
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Modica Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Reggina Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Nissa FC Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Milazzo Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Enna Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/04 | ASD Paterno Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | Acireale Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Milazzo vs Sambiase?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Milazzo win (39%). Probabilities: Milazzo 39%, draw 30%, Sambiase 31%.
How many goals are expected in Milazzo vs Sambiase?
The model expects 2.13 goals (Milazzo 1.14 · Sambiase 0.99), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Milazzo vs Sambiase?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.