Football · Italy Serie D · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: Este vs FCD Conegliano

Team pages: Este · FCD Conegliano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.91Total
Este1.09
FCD Conegliano0.82
1X2
42% 31% 27%
Este Draw FCD Conegliano
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Este 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDDWWWLLLD
FCD Conegliano 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWDDLLDWWL
Head-to-head
Este 1–1–1 FCD Conegliano (3 last)
  • Este1-0FCD Conegliano
  • FCD Conegliano1-0Este
  • Este1-1FCD Conegliano
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Este 1479 · FCD Conegliano 1483
EsteDrawFCD Conegliano
Our model40%34%26%
Market43%29%28%
Estimated total (ours) 1.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EsteFCD Conegliano
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.90.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)17/67/17%0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)0.8 / 2.32 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 03.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Este 1–1–1 FCD Conegliano

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
30/08/26
Italy Serie D Cup
Este1-0
HT 0-0
FCD Conegliano
01/02/26
Italy Serie D
FCD Conegliano1-0Este
28/09/25
Italy Serie D
Este1-1FCD Conegliano

Standings · Italy Serie D

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 5500 15015
2 Sambiase 5410 9313
3 Igea Virtus 5311 131010
4 Vibonese 5311 13510
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 5230 829
6 Calcio Avola 1949 5302 8109
7 ASD Licata 5221 678
8 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 5212 987
9 Nissa FC 5212 887
10 Milazzo 5203 486
11 Siracusa 5320 844
12 Modica 5113 354
13 ASD CastrumFavara 5113 554
14 Città di Gela 5113 463
15 ASD Ragusa 5023 482
16 Vigor Lamezia 5023 5132
17 Enna Calcio 5014 0121
18 Trapani 5104 210-2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEsteFCD Conegliano
Cjarlins Muzane 1-2 L 1-0 W
Clodiense 0-1 L 3-2 W
FC Obermais 0-1 L 1-0 W
Luparense FC 2-0 W 1-1 D
Treviso 2-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FCD Conegliano (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Este

LDDWWWLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Sandona 1922
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
20/09 Cjarlins Muzane
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-2 24 L
16/09 Clodiense
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
13/09 FC Obermais
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 32 L
06/09 ASD Brian Lignano
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
03/05 Luparense FC
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 02 W
26/04 Treviso
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
17/04 Clodiense
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 13 D
12/04 Legnago Salus
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 23 D
03/04 Calvi Noale
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 63 L

FCD Conegliano

WWDDLLDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
20/09 FC Obermais
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
16/09 Cjarlins Muzane
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 24 W
13/09 Bassano
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
06/09 Campodarsego
Italy Serie D
– 0-4 –– L
03/05 Unione La Rocca Altavilla
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
26/04 FC Obermais
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
19/04 Luparense FC
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
12/04 Treviso
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 14 W
02/04 Clodiense
Italy Serie D
0-2 3-2 103 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Este vs FCD Conegliano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Este win (42%). Probabilities: Este 42%, draw 31%, FCD Conegliano 27%.

How many goals are expected in Este vs FCD Conegliano?

The model expects 1.91 goals (Este 1.09 · FCD Conegliano 0.82), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Este vs FCD Conegliano?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.