Football · Italy Serie D · 20/09, 15:00
Prediction: SCD Progresso Calcio vs ASD Seravezza Calcio
Team pages: SCD Progresso Calcio · ASD Seravezza Calcio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
SCD Progresso Calcio1.14
ASD Seravezza Calcio1.37
1X2
SCD Progresso Calcio
Draw
ASD Seravezza Calcio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
SCD Progresso Calcio
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
ASD Seravezza Calcio
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SCD Progresso Calcio
2–2
ASD Seravezza Calcio
(4 last)
- ASD Seravezza Calcio3-1SCD Progresso Calcio
- SCD Progresso Calcio0-1ASD Seravezza Calcio
- SCD Progresso Calcio1-0ASD Seravezza Calcio
- ASD Seravezza Calcio1-2SCD Progresso Calcio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SCD Progresso Calcio 1504 · ASD Seravezza Calcio 1513
| SCD Progresso Calcio | Draw | ASD Seravezza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 29% | 41% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SCD Progresso Calcio | ASD Seravezza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/25/50% | 29/43/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 2.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SCD Progresso Calcio 2–0–2 ASD Seravezza Calcio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/22 Italy Serie D | ASD Seravezza Calcio | 3-1 HT 2-0 | SCD Progresso Calcio |
| 07/11/21 Italy Serie D | SCD Progresso Calcio | 0-1 HT 0-1 | ASD Seravezza Calcio |
| 01/04/21 Italy Serie D | SCD Progresso Calcio | 1-0 HT 0-0 | ASD Seravezza Calcio |
| 20/01/21 Italy Serie D | ASD Seravezza Calcio | 1-2 HT 1-0 | SCD Progresso Calcio |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Nissa FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Igea Virtus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Sambiase | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vibonese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | ASD CastrumFavara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | ASD Ragusa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 11 | Vigor Lamezia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | Città di Gela | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Modica | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Siracusa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 | Trapani | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SCD Progresso Calcio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Lucchese Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Scandicci Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Lentigione Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Correggese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 02/04 | Tuttocuoio Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | Piacenza Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
ASD Seravezza Calcio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Lucchese Italy Serie D |
5-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Prato Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Foligno Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | GSD Ghiviborgo VDS Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Robur Siena Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/04 | Prato Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SCD Progresso Calcio vs ASD Seravezza Calcio?
According to our model, the most likely result is an ASD Seravezza Calcio win (41%). Probabilities: SCD Progresso Calcio 30%, draw 29%, ASD Seravezza Calcio 41%.
How many goals are expected in SCD Progresso Calcio vs ASD Seravezza Calcio?
The model expects 2.51 goals (SCD Progresso Calcio 1.14 · ASD Seravezza Calcio 1.37), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SCD Progresso Calcio vs ASD Seravezza Calcio?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.