Football · Italy Serie D · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: San Donato Tavarnelle vs Gavorrano

Team pages: San Donato Tavarnelle

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
San Donato Tavarnelle1.21
Gavorrano0.93
1X2
42% 30% 28%
San Donato Tavarnelle Draw Gavorrano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
San Donato Tavarnelle 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLLWWWDWWD
Gavorrano 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDDDLWLWDW
Head-to-head
San Donato Tavarnelle 1–3–2 Gavorrano (6 last)
  • Gavorrano1-1San Donato Tavarnelle
  • San Donato Tavarnelle1-1Gavorrano
  • San Donato Tavarnelle0-1Gavorrano
  • Gavorrano1-2San Donato Tavarnelle
  • Gavorrano2-1San Donato Tavarnelle
  • San Donato Tavarnelle0-0Gavorrano
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Donato Tavarnelle 1517 · Gavorrano 1517
San Donato TavarnelleDrawGavorrano
Our model41%32%27%
Market43%28%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Gavorrano: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

San Donato TavarnelleGavorrano
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.91 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.30.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)17/67/17%14/57/29%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 32.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.23.5 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Donato Tavarnelle 132 Gavorrano

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/02/26
Italy Serie D
Gavorrano1-1
HT 0-0
San Donato Tavarnelle
12/10/25
Italy Serie D
San Donato Tavarnelle1-1Gavorrano
30/03/25
Italy Serie D
San Donato Tavarnelle0-1
HT 0-0
Gavorrano
17/11/24
Italy Serie D
Gavorrano1-2
HT 0-0
San Donato Tavarnelle
07/01/24
Italy Serie D
Gavorrano2-1
HT 1-1
San Donato Tavarnelle
10/09/23
Italy Serie D
San Donato Tavarnelle0-0Gavorrano

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 3300 1009
2 Nissa FC 3210 627
3 Igea Virtus 3210 1077
4 Sambiase 3210 427
5 Milazzo 3201 446
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 3120 725
7 Vibonese 3111 854
8 ASD CastrumFavara 3111 534
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 3111 654
10 Calcio Avola 1949 3102 383
11 ASD Ragusa 3021 462
11 Vigor Lamezia 3021 462
13 Città di Gela 3102 452
14 ASD Licata 3021 272
15 Modica 3012 241
16 Siracusa 3210 740
17 Enna Calcio 3003 090
18 Trapani 3003 07-5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSan Donato TavarnelleGavorrano
Grosseto 2-0 W 1-1 D
Foligno 1-0 W 0-2 L
GSD Ghiviborgo VDS 1-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: San Donato Tavarnelle (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Donato Tavarnelle

LLLWWWDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
13/09 ASD Sasso Marconi
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-1 46 W
06/09 ASD Seravezza Calcio
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
03/05 ASD Seravezza Calcio
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
26/04 Grosseto
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
19/04 Foligno
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 75 W
12/04 GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 22 W
29/03 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
0-2 2-3 34 L
22/03 Prato
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 17 L
15/03 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 14 L

Gavorrano

LDDDLWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italy Serie D
1-0 00 W
12/09 Nuova Ternana
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 34 D
06/09 ASD Grassina
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 43 W
03/05 ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
26/04 Scandicci
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-1 36 W
19/04 Orvietana
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 69 L
12/04 ASD Sporting Trestina
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 53 D
28/03 Grosseto
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 73 D
22/03 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 63 D
15/03 Foligno
Italy Serie D
0-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Donato Tavarnelle vs Gavorrano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Donato Tavarnelle win (42%). Probabilities: San Donato Tavarnelle 42%, draw 30%, Gavorrano 28%.

How many goals are expected in San Donato Tavarnelle vs Gavorrano?

The model expects 2.14 goals (San Donato Tavarnelle 1.21 · Gavorrano 0.93), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in San Donato Tavarnelle vs Gavorrano?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.