Football · Italy Serie D · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: ASD Sasso Marconi vs Scandicci

Team pages: ASD Sasso Marconi · Scandicci

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
ASD Sasso Marconi1.14
Scandicci1.42
1X2
29% 29% 42%
ASD Sasso Marconi Draw Scandicci
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Sasso Marconi 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLWDLWLDLL
Scandicci 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWDLLDLWWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Sasso Marconi 1465 · Scandicci 1520
ASD Sasso MarconiDrawScandicci
Our model29%29%42%
Market29%29%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Scandicci (rating 1465 vs 1520).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD Sasso MarconiScandicci
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.81.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.71.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)14/29/57%43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.11.2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.34.3 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 5500 15015
2 Sambiase 5410 9313
3 Igea Virtus 5311 131010
4 Vibonese 5311 13510
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 5230 829
6 Calcio Avola 1949 5302 8109
7 ASD Licata 5221 678
8 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 5212 987
9 Nissa FC 5212 887
10 Milazzo 5203 486
11 Siracusa 5320 844
12 Modica 5113 354
13 ASD CastrumFavara 5113 554
14 Città di Gela 5113 463
15 ASD Ragusa 5023 482
16 Vigor Lamezia 5023 5132
17 Enna Calcio 5014 0121
18 Trapani 5104 210-2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentASD Sasso MarconiScandicci
Gavorrano 1-2 L 1-3 L
SCD Progresso Calcio 1-4 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Sasso Marconi

LLWDLWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Gavorrano
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 93 L
20/09 Prato
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 65 L
16/09 Virtus Flaminia
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 23 D
13/09 San Donato Tavarnelle
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-3 66 L
06/09 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
03/05 SCD Progresso Calcio
Italy Serie D
– 1-4 –– L
26/04 Imolese
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 44 D
19/04 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-1 86 W
12/04 Desenzano
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
02/04 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 14 L

Scandicci

WWDLLDLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Ternana
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 64 D
20/09 ASD Grassina
Italy Serie D
0-2 3-2 15 W
16/09 ASD Rondinella Marzocco
Italy Serie D
3-0 3-0 24 W
12/09 SCD Progresso Calcio
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 36 L
06/09 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 33 D
03/05 Poggibonsi
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
26/04 Gavorrano
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-3 56 L
19/04 ASD Cannara
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
12/04 Orvietana
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
02/04 ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
Italy Serie D
2-2 4-3 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Sasso Marconi vs Scandicci?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Scandicci win (42%). Probabilities: ASD Sasso Marconi 29%, draw 29%, Scandicci 42%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Sasso Marconi vs Scandicci?

The model expects 2.56 goals (ASD Sasso Marconi 1.14 · Scandicci 1.42), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Sasso Marconi vs Scandicci?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.