Football · Italy Serie D · 20/09, 15:00
Prediction: ASD Sasso Marconi vs Prato
Team pages: ASD Sasso Marconi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
ASD Sasso Marconi0.97
Prato1.42
1X2
ASD Sasso Marconi
Draw
Prato
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Sasso Marconi
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Prato
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASD Sasso Marconi
1–3–2
Prato
(6 last)
- Prato0-0ASD Sasso Marconi
- ASD Sasso Marconi2-1Prato
- ASD Sasso Marconi0-1Prato
- Prato2-0ASD Sasso Marconi
- Prato2-2ASD Sasso Marconi
- ASD Sasso Marconi1-1Prato
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASD Sasso Marconi 1486 · Prato 1582
| ASD Sasso Marconi | Draw | Prato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 29% | 46% |
| Market | 26% | 27% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Prato (rating 1486 vs 1582).
- H2H favours Prato: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASD Sasso Marconi | Prato | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/33/50% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 2.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Sasso Marconi 1–3–2 Prato
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/25 Italy Serie D | Prato | 0-0 HT 0-0 | ASD Sasso Marconi |
| 29/09/24 Italy Serie D | ASD Sasso Marconi | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Prato |
| 06/03/22 Italy Serie D | ASD Sasso Marconi | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Prato |
| 24/10/21 Italy Serie D | Prato | 2-0 HT 1-0 | ASD Sasso Marconi |
| 18/04/21 Italy Serie D | Prato | 2-2 HT 1-1 | ASD Sasso Marconi |
| 06/01/21 Italy Serie D | ASD Sasso Marconi | 1-1 | Prato |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Nissa FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Igea Virtus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Sambiase | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vibonese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | ASD CastrumFavara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | ASD Ragusa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 11 | Vigor Lamezia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | Città di Gela | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Modica | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Siracusa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 | Trapani | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASD Sasso Marconi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | SCD Progresso Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Imolese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Rovato Vertovese SSD Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Desenzano Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/04 | Lentigione Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Cittadella Vis Modena Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Tuttocuoio Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Prato
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | ASD Grassina Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | ASD Rondinella Marzocco Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Nuova Ternana Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | ASD Seravezza Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Grosseto Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Foligno Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/04 | ASD Seravezza Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | GSD Ghiviborgo VDS Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASD Sasso Marconi vs Prato?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Prato win (47%). Probabilities: ASD Sasso Marconi 25%, draw 28%, Prato 47%.
How many goals are expected in ASD Sasso Marconi vs Prato?
The model expects 2.4 goals (ASD Sasso Marconi 0.97 · Prato 1.42), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in ASD Sasso Marconi vs Prato?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.