Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 16/08, 01:00
Prediction: Rancho Santana FC vs CD Walter Ferretti
Team pages: Rancho Santana FC · CD Walter Ferretti
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Rancho Santana FC1.44
CD Walter Ferretti1.39
1X2
Rancho Santana FC
Draw
CD Walter Ferretti
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rancho Santana FC
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
CD Walter Ferretti
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rancho Santana FC
0–4–2
CD Walter Ferretti
(6 last)
- CD Walter Ferretti0-0Rancho Santana FC
- Rancho Santana FC2-2CD Walter Ferretti
- Rancho Santana FC1-1CD Walter Ferretti
- CD Walter Ferretti6-2Rancho Santana FC
- Rancho Santana FC2-5CD Walter Ferretti
- Rancho Santana FC1-1CD Walter Ferretti
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rancho Santana FC 1429 · CD Walter Ferretti 1472
| Rancho Santana FC | Draw | CD Walter Ferretti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Walter Ferretti (rating 1429 vs 1472).
- H2H favours CD Walter Ferretti: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rancho Santana FC | CD Walter Ferretti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.4 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rancho Santana FC 0–4–2 CD Walter Ferretti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Nicaragua Clausura | CD Walter Ferretti | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
| 08/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Rancho Santana FC | 2-2 HT 2-0 | CD Walter Ferretti |
| 23/10/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Rancho Santana FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CD Walter Ferretti |
| 11/08/25 Nicaragua Apertura | CD Walter Ferretti | 6-2 HT 4-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
| 07/07/25 Nicaragua Cup | Rancho Santana FC | 2-5 HT 2-3 | CD Walter Ferretti |
| 14/04/25 Nicaragua Clausura | Rancho Santana FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CD Walter Ferretti |
Standings · Nicaragua Apertura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Esteli | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Diriangen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | UNAN Managua | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | CD Walter Ferretti | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 7 | Jalapa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 8 | San Marcos FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 9 | Rancho Santana FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 | Matagalpa FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rancho Santana FC | CD Walter Ferretti |
|---|---|---|
| Diriangen | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Managua FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Jalapa | 3-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rancho Santana FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | Managua FC Nicaragua Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 06/07 | Managua FC Nicaragua Cup |
0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/04 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
2-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/04 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 13/04 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
CD Walter Ferretti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 30/04 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Jalapa Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/04 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Clausura |
3-1 | 4-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 13/04 | Managua FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 10/04 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 11 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rancho Santana FC vs CD Walter Ferretti?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rancho Santana FC win (38%). Probabilities: Rancho Santana FC 38%, draw 27%, CD Walter Ferretti 35%.
How many goals are expected in Rancho Santana FC vs CD Walter Ferretti?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Rancho Santana FC 1.44 · CD Walter Ferretti 1.39), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rancho Santana FC vs CD Walter Ferretti?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.