Football · Spain Tercera Group 1 · 10/10, 17:00

Prediction: Atletico Arteixo vs Somozas

Team pages: Atletico Arteixo · Somozas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

Atletico Arteixo0.99

Somozas1.18

1X2

30% 30% 40%

Atletico Arteixo Draw Somozas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Arteixo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDDWLL

Somozas 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWDDLDLW

Head-to-head

Atletico Arteixo 2–2–2 Somozas (6 last)

Somozas0-1Atletico Arteixo
Atletico Arteixo0-0Somozas
Somozas1-0Atletico Arteixo
Atletico Arteixo1-1Somozas
Atletico Arteixo4-3Somozas
Somozas1-0Atletico Arteixo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Arteixo 1485 · Somozas 1484

	Atletico Arteixo	Draw	Somozas
Our model	29%	32%	39%
Market	31%	28%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Arteixo	Somozas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/57/14%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.3	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.20

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.88▲	Pinn 3.03 ★
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
2	2.35 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.21

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:31 +10’	2.70	3.10	2.35
05:49 +10’	2.88▲	3.20▲	2.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:21 +19’	3.03	3.10	2.21

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Arteixo 2–2–2 Somozas

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 1	Somozas	0-1	Atletico Arteixo
08/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 1	Atletico Arteixo	0-0 HT 0-0	Somozas
05/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 1	Somozas	1-0	Atletico Arteixo
24/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 1	Atletico Arteixo	1-1 HT 0-1	Somozas
17/02/24 Spain Tercera Group 1	Atletico Arteixo	4-3	Somozas
01/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 1	Somozas	1-0	Atletico Arteixo

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Boiro	5	3	1	1	10	6	10
2	CD Barco	5	3	1	1	6	4	10
3	Lalin	5	3	1	1	5	3	10
4	Antela FC	5	3	1	1	5	4	10
5	SD Sarriana	5	3	0	2	9	7	9
6	Racing Club Villalbes	5	2	3	0	7	5	9
7	Alondras	5	3	0	2	10	9	9
8	Pontevedra B	5	2	1	2	9	6	7
9	Portonovo	5	2	1	2	7	6	7
10	Gran Pena	5	2	1	2	8	8	7
11	CD Estradense	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
12	Somozas	6	1	3	2	5	6	6
13	Atletico Arteixo	6	1	3	2	8	10	6
14	Celtiga	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
15	Silva SD	5	1	2	2	5	8	5
16	Viveiro CF	5	1	1	3	2	5	4
17	CD Arenteiro	5	1	0	4	4	7	3
18	Montaneros	5	1	0	4	7	11	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Arteixo	Somozas
Viveiro CF	1-0 W	1-1 D
CD Estradense	1-1 D	1-2 L
CD Boiro	0-6 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Arteixo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Arteixo

LWWDWDDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Gran Pena Spain Tercera Group 1	1-0	2-3	4	7	L
26/09	Alondras Spain Tercera Group 1	1-3	2-4	3	4	L
20/09	Viveiro CF Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
05/09	Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/05	CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
09/05	Silva SD Spain Tercera Group 1	2-0	2-2	2	2	D
01/05	Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1	–	3-2	–	–	W
25/04	Juventud Cambados Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
19/04	CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-6	–	–	L

Somozas

DLDWDDLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	SD Sarriana Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Antela FC Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	0-1	6	10	L
20/09	Pontevedra B Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Lalin Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Portonovo Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
10/05	CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-2	–	–	D
03/05	CD Barco Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	2-1	1	2	W
26/04	Compostela Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
19/04	CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/04	Viveiro CF Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Arteixo vs Somozas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Somozas win (40%). Probabilities: Atletico Arteixo 30%, draw 30%, Somozas 40%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Arteixo vs Somozas?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Atletico Arteixo 0.99 · Somozas 1.18), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Arteixo vs Somozas?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.