Football · Spain Tercera Group 1 · 11/10, 17:00
Prediction: Racing Club Villalbes vs CD Estradense
Team pages: Racing Club Villalbes · CD Estradense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Racing Club Villalbes1.33
CD Estradense1.1
1X2
Racing Club Villalbes
Draw
CD Estradense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club Villalbes
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
CD Estradense
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Racing Club Villalbes
2–1–3
CD Estradense
(6 last)
- Racing Club Villalbes0-2CD Estradense
- CD Estradense0-0Racing Club Villalbes
- CD Estradense4-1Racing Club Villalbes
- Racing Club Villalbes2-1CD Estradense
- CD Estradense3-1Racing Club Villalbes
- Racing Club Villalbes2-0CD Estradense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing Club Villalbes 1498 · CD Estradense 1539
| Racing Club Villalbes | Draw | CD Estradense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Estradense (rating 1498 vs 1539).
- H2H favours CD Estradense: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Club Villalbes | CD Estradense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/67/17% | 11/56/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.2 | 3.7 / 8.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club Villalbes 2–1–3 CD Estradense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 1 | Racing Club Villalbes | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CD Estradense |
| 01/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 1 | CD Estradense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Racing Club Villalbes |
| 22/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 1 | CD Estradense | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Racing Club Villalbes |
| 10/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 1 | Racing Club Villalbes | 2-1 | CD Estradense |
| 15/01/23 Spain Tercera Group 1 | CD Estradense | 3-1 | Racing Club Villalbes |
| 11/09/22 Spain Tercera Group 1 | Racing Club Villalbes | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CD Estradense |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Boiro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | CD Barco | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Lalin | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Antela FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | SD Sarriana | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Racing Club Villalbes | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Alondras | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Pontevedra B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Portonovo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Gran Pena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 11 | CD Estradense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 12 | Somozas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Atletico Arteixo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Celtiga | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | Viveiro CF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | CD Arenteiro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | Montaneros | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing Club Villalbes | CD Estradense |
|---|---|---|
| CD Boiro | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Celtiga | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Montaneros | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Atletico Arteixo | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Compostela | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Club Villalbes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Silva SD Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Compostela Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Lugo B Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Gran Pena Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Silva SD Spain Tercera Group 1 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
CD Estradense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | SD Sarriana Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 16/05 | Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | CD Barco Spain Tercera Group 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Compostela Spain Tercera Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Viveiro CF Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Somozas Spain Tercera Group 1 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Club Villalbes vs CD Estradense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club Villalbes win (41%). Probabilities: Racing Club Villalbes 41%, draw 29%, CD Estradense 30%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Club Villalbes vs CD Estradense?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Racing Club Villalbes 1.33 · CD Estradense 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Club Villalbes vs CD Estradense?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.