Football · Spain Tercera Group 1 · 18/10, 12:00

Prediction: Viveiro CF vs Racing Club Villalbes

Team pages: Viveiro CF · Racing Club Villalbes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

Viveiro CF0.85

Racing Club Villalbes1.38

1X2

23% 29% 48%

Viveiro CF Draw Racing Club Villalbes

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Viveiro CF 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLLWDL

Racing Club Villalbes 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDDWWDDL

Head-to-head

Viveiro CF 2–3–1 Racing Club Villalbes (6 last)

Racing Club Villalbes2-2Viveiro CF
Viveiro CF1-1Racing Club Villalbes
Viveiro CF2-0Racing Club Villalbes
Racing Club Villalbes1-1Viveiro CF
Racing Club Villalbes0-1Viveiro CF
Viveiro CF0-1Racing Club Villalbes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viveiro CF 1453 · Racing Club Villalbes 1492

	Viveiro CF	Draw	Racing Club Villalbes
Our model	22%	30%	48%
Market	23%	28%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Viveiro CF: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viveiro CF	Racing Club Villalbes
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/33/50%	14/71/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 3.8	1.7 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.20

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.75

Under 2.252.05

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 2.23 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:37 +17’	3.90	3.20	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:47 +67’	3.28	2.79	2.23

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viveiro CF 2–3–1 Racing Club Villalbes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 1	Racing Club Villalbes	2-2	Viveiro CF
21/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 1	Viveiro CF	1-1	Racing Club Villalbes
20/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 1	Viveiro CF	2-0	Racing Club Villalbes
06/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 1	Racing Club Villalbes	1-1 HT 0-0	Viveiro CF
05/02/23 Spain Tercera Group 1	Racing Club Villalbes	0-1 HT 0-1	Viveiro CF
02/10/22 Spain Tercera Group 1	Viveiro CF	0-1	Racing Club Villalbes

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Boiro	6	4	1	1	11	6	13
2	CD Barco	6	3	2	1	7	5	11
3	Antela FC	6	3	2	1	6	5	11
4	SD Sarriana	6	3	1	2	12	10	10
5	Portonovo	6	3	1	2	8	6	10
6	Alondras	6	3	1	2	10	9	10
7	CD Estradense	6	3	1	2	10	10	10
8	Lalin	6	3	1	2	6	6	10
9	Racing Club Villalbes	6	2	3	1	8	7	9
10	Silva SD	6	2	2	2	8	9	8
11	Pontevedra B	6	2	1	3	9	7	7
12	Gran Pena	6	2	1	3	9	11	7
13	Celtiga	6	1	3	2	5	6	6
13	Somozas	6	1	3	2	5	6	6
15	Montaneros	6	2	0	4	10	12	6
16	Atletico Arteixo	6	1	3	2	8	10	6
17	CD Arenteiro	6	1	1	4	7	10	4
18	Viveiro CF	6	1	1	4	2	6	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viveiro CF	Racing Club Villalbes
CD Boiro	0-1 L	1-1 D
Celtiga	0-0 D	3-2 W
Montaneros	2-1 W	3-2 W
Atletico Arteixo	0-1 L	0-0 D
Compostela	0-1 L	0-0 D
CD Estradense	0-2 L	1-2 L
Lugo B	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Racing Club Villalbes (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viveiro CF

DLWLLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
04/10	Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-0	–	–	D
27/09	Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
20/09	Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	SD Sarriana Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
06/09	Antela FC Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	0-1	5	10	L
10/05	Compostela Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/05	Alondras Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	2-1	11	5	W
25/04	CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/04	Lugo B Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-0	–	–	D

Racing Club Villalbes

LLWDDWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
03/10	Silva SD Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
27/09	CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1	–	3-2	–	–	W
13/09	Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1	3-0	3-2	0	4	W
05/09	Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
16/05	Compostela Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
10/05	Lugo B Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
03/05	Gran Pena Spain Tercera Group 1	0-3	1-4	6	4	L
26/04	Silva SD Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viveiro CF vs Racing Club Villalbes?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Racing Club Villalbes win (48%). Probabilities: Viveiro CF 23%, draw 29%, Racing Club Villalbes 48%.

How many goals are expected in Viveiro CF vs Racing Club Villalbes?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Viveiro CF 0.85 · Racing Club Villalbes 1.38), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Viveiro CF vs Racing Club Villalbes?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.