Football · Spain Tercera Group 1 · 11/10, 17:30

Prediction: CD Boiro vs Viveiro CF

Team pages: CD Boiro · Viveiro CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

CD Boiro1.81

Viveiro CF0.54

1X2

68% 22% 10%

CD Boiro Draw Viveiro CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Boiro 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWWDL

Viveiro CF 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLLLWD

Head-to-head

CD Boiro 2–1–1 Viveiro CF (4 last)

Viveiro CF1-0CD Boiro
CD Boiro0-0Viveiro CF
Viveiro CF0-1CD Boiro
CD Boiro2-1Viveiro CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Boiro 1552 · Viveiro CF 1470

	CD Boiro	Draw	Viveiro CF
Our model	67%	23%	10%
Market	68%	21%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Boiro (rating 1552 vs 1470).
H2H favours CD Boiro: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Boiro	Viveiro CF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1	0.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	0.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.33

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.33▼	Pinn 1.55 ★
X	3.60 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	5.00 → 8.50▲	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.9% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:39 +4’	1.57	3.60	5.00
23:04 +9’	1.33▼	4.33▲	8.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:43 +219’	1.58	3.62	5.02
23:47 +10’	1.55▼	3.69▲	5.28▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Boiro 2–1–1 Viveiro CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 1	Viveiro CF	1-0	CD Boiro
28/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Boiro	0-0 HT 0-0	Viveiro CF
16/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 1	Viveiro CF	0-1	CD Boiro
06/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Boiro	2-1	Viveiro CF

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Boiro	5	3	1	1	10	6	10
2	CD Barco	5	3	1	1	6	4	10
3	Lalin	5	3	1	1	5	3	10
4	Antela FC	5	3	1	1	5	4	10
5	SD Sarriana	5	3	0	2	9	7	9
6	Racing Club Villalbes	5	2	3	0	7	5	9
7	Alondras	5	3	0	2	10	9	9
8	Pontevedra B	5	2	1	2	9	6	7
9	Portonovo	5	2	1	2	7	6	7
10	Gran Pena	5	2	1	2	8	8	7
11	CD Estradense	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
12	Somozas	6	1	3	2	5	6	6
13	Atletico Arteixo	6	1	3	2	8	10	6
14	Celtiga	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
15	Silva SD	5	1	2	2	5	8	5
16	Viveiro CF	5	1	1	3	2	5	4
17	CD Arenteiro	5	1	0	4	4	7	3
18	Montaneros	5	1	0	4	7	11	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Boiro	Viveiro CF
CD Estradense	2-3 L	0-2 L
Celtiga	2-0 W	0-0 D
Montaneros	3-2 W	2-1 W
Somozas	2-2 D	1-1 D
Atletico Arteixo	6-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Boiro (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Boiro

WWLWDWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1	1-2	2-3	5	7	L
27/09	Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Silva SD Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
06/09	Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1	2-1	3-2	4	4	W
10/05	Somozas Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-2	–	–	D
03/05	Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1	1-0	3-1	7	5	W
26/04	Arosa Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
19/04	Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1	–	6-0	–	–	W
12/04	CF Noia Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-0	–	–	W

Viveiro CF

DDLWLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-0	–	–	D
27/09	Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
20/09	Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	SD Sarriana Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
06/09	Antela FC Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	0-1	5	10	L
10/05	Compostela Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/05	Alondras Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	2-1	11	5	W
25/04	CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/04	Lugo B Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-0	–	–	D
12/04	Somozas Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Boiro vs Viveiro CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Boiro win (68%). Probabilities: CD Boiro 68%, draw 22%, Viveiro CF 10%.

How many goals are expected in CD Boiro vs Viveiro CF?

The model expects 2.35 goals (CD Boiro 1.81 · Viveiro CF 0.54), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Boiro vs Viveiro CF?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.