Football · Spain Tercera Group 1 · 18/10, 12:30

Prediction: Silva SD vs CD Estradense

Team pages: Silva SD · CD Estradense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Silva SD1.39

CD Estradense1.5

1X2

33% 28% 38%

Silva SD Draw CD Estradense

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Silva SD 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDWLLDWW

CD Estradense 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Silva SD 1–3–2 CD Estradense (6 last)

CD Estradense2-1Silva SD
Silva SD1-1CD Estradense
Silva SD0-0CD Estradense
CD Estradense0-0Silva SD
Silva SD0-1CD Estradense
CD Estradense0-2Silva SD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Silva SD 1555 · CD Estradense 1535

	Silva SD	Draw	CD Estradense
Our model	34%	27%	39%
Market	33%	29%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Estradense: 2-3-1.
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Silva SD	CD Estradense
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.4	3.6 / 8.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.10

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 1 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 3.41 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.17
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:45 +14’	2.70	3.10	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:48 +131’	3.41	3.17	2.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Silva SD 1–3–2 CD Estradense

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Estradense	2-1 HT 1-0	Silva SD
28/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 1	Silva SD	1-1	CD Estradense
15/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 1	Silva SD	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Estradense
06/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Estradense	0-0 HT 0-0	Silva SD
11/02/24 Spain Tercera Group 1	Silva SD	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Estradense
24/09/23 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Estradense	0-2 HT 0-2	Silva SD

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Boiro	6	4	1	1	11	6	13
2	CD Barco	6	3	2	1	7	5	11
3	Antela FC	6	3	2	1	6	5	11
4	SD Sarriana	6	3	1	2	12	10	10
5	Portonovo	6	3	1	2	8	6	10
6	Alondras	6	3	1	2	10	9	10
7	CD Estradense	6	3	1	2	10	10	10
8	Lalin	6	3	1	2	6	6	10
9	Racing Club Villalbes	6	2	3	1	8	7	9
10	Silva SD	6	2	2	2	8	9	8
11	Pontevedra B	6	2	1	3	9	7	7
12	Gran Pena	6	2	1	3	9	11	7
13	Celtiga	6	1	3	2	5	6	6
13	Somozas	6	1	3	2	5	6	6
15	Montaneros	6	2	0	4	10	12	6
16	Atletico Arteixo	6	1	3	2	8	10	6
17	CD Arenteiro	6	1	1	4	7	10	4
18	Viveiro CF	6	1	1	4	2	6	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Silva SD	CD Estradense
Racing Club Villalbes	0-0 D	2-1 W
CD Boiro	0-2 L	3-2 W
CD Barco	2-1 W	3-1 W
Celtiga	1-1 D	0-2 L
Atletico Arteixo	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Estradense (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Silva SD

WWDDWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	CD Lalin Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	3-1	5	4	W
11/10	Lalin Spain Tercera Group 1	–	3-1	–	–	W
03/10	Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
27/09	Portonovo Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-4	–	–	L
19/09	CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	CD Barco Spain Tercera Group 1	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
06/09	Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1	1-1	1-1	1	4	D
09/05	Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1	0-2	2-2	4	2	D
03/05	CF Noia Spain Tercera Group 1	–	5-2	–	–	W
26/04	Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1	–	3-0	–	–	W

CD Estradense

WLWLLDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	2-1	9	5	W
04/10	CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1	2-1	3-2	6	7	W
27/09	Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	0-2	12	2	L
20/09	Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	3-1	9	4	W
12/09	Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
06/09	SD Sarriana Spain Tercera Group 1	0-2	1-3	7	10	L
16/05	Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-1	14	3	L
10/05	CD Barco Spain Tercera Group 1	1-1	3-1	8	5	W
01/05	Compostela Spain Tercera Group 1	1-1	1-2	10	6	L
25/04	Viveiro CF Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	2-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Silva SD vs CD Estradense?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Estradense win (38%). Probabilities: Silva SD 33%, draw 28%, CD Estradense 38%.

How many goals are expected in Silva SD vs CD Estradense?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Silva SD 1.39 · CD Estradense 1.5), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Silva SD vs CD Estradense?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.