Prediction: Montaneros vs Gran Pena
Team pages: Montaneros · Gran Pena
- Gran Pena1-1Montaneros
- Montaneros1-1Gran Pena
| Montaneros | Draw | Gran Pena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 26% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gran Pena (rating 1445 vs 1533).
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montaneros | Gran Pena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 2.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 1.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montaneros 0–2–0 Gran Pena
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 1 | Gran Pena | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Montaneros |
| 21/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 1 | Montaneros | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Gran Pena |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Boiro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | CD Barco | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Lalin | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Antela FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | SD Sarriana | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Racing Club Villalbes | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Alondras | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Pontevedra B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Portonovo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Gran Pena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 11 | CD Estradense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 12 | Somozas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Atletico Arteixo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Celtiga | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | Viveiro CF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | CD Arenteiro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | Montaneros | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montaneros | Gran Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Alondras | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Racing Club Villalbes | 2-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montaneros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Alondras Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/09 | Viveiro CF Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Juventud Cambados Spain Tercera Group 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | CD Barco Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Compostela Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 12/04 | CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
Gran Pena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | SD Sarriana Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Antela FC Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | Pontevedra B Spain Tercera Group 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Lalin Spain Tercera Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | CF Noia Spain Tercera Group 1 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | UD Barbadas Spain Tercera Group 1 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Alondras Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Lugo B Spain Tercera Group 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montaneros vs Gran Pena?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Montaneros win (43%). Probabilities: Montaneros 43%, draw 27%, Gran Pena 30%.
How many goals are expected in Montaneros vs Gran Pena?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Montaneros 1.63 · Gran Pena 1.34), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Montaneros vs Gran Pena?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.