Football · Italy Serie D · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: Celle Varazze FBC vs Ligorna

Team pages: Ligorna

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Celle Varazze FBC1.23
Ligorna1.44
1X2
31% 28% 41%
Celle Varazze FBC Draw Ligorna
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Celle Varazze FBC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWWLLL
Ligorna 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDDWDWWDLL
Head-to-head
Celle Varazze FBC 0–2 Ligorna (2 last)
  • Celle Varazze FBC2-3Ligorna
  • Ligorna3-2Celle Varazze FBC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Celle Varazze FBC 1503 · Ligorna 1518
Celle Varazze FBCDrawLigorna
Our model31%28%41%
Market31%28%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ligorna: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Celle Varazze FBCLigorna
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.62.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 01.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)100/0/0%22/67/11%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 2.33 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 04.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Celle Varazze FBC 002 Ligorna

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/01/26
Italy Serie D
Celle Varazze FBC2-3Ligorna
07/09/25
Italy Serie D
Ligorna3-2
HT 1-1
Celle Varazze FBC

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 3300 1009
2 Nissa FC 3210 627
3 Igea Virtus 3210 1077
4 Sambiase 3210 427
5 Milazzo 3201 446
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 3120 725
7 Vibonese 3111 854
8 ASD CastrumFavara 3111 534
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 3111 654
10 Calcio Avola 1949 3102 383
11 ASD Ragusa 3021 462
11 Vigor Lamezia 3021 462
13 Città di Gela 3102 452
14 ASD Licata 3021 272
15 Modica 3012 241
16 Siracusa 3210 740
17 Enna Calcio 3003 090
18 Trapani 3003 07-5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCelle Varazze FBCLigorna
Sanremese 0-1 L 2-2 D
Derthona 0-1 L 2-3 L
Citta di Varese 2-0 W 5-3 W
Asti 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ligorna (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Celle Varazze FBC

WDWWWWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
1-3 L
12/09 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
06/09 Derthona
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
03/05 ASD Imperia
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
26/04 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 23 W
19/04 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
12/04 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
02/04 Derthona
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-0 52 W
29/03 Asti
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 05 D
22/03 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
1-0 W

Ligorna

LDDWDWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 Derthona
Italy Serie D
1-2 2-3 84 L
13/09 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-3 58 L
06/09 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-2 45 D
17/05 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
3-0 5-3 66 W
03/05 NovaRomentino
Italy Serie D
3-0 9-1 91 W
26/04 Asti
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 74 D
19/04 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 94 W
12/04 Chisola
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
02/04 Cairese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 65 D
29/03 Valenzana
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 47 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Celle Varazze FBC vs Ligorna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ligorna win (41%). Probabilities: Celle Varazze FBC 31%, draw 28%, Ligorna 41%.

How many goals are expected in Celle Varazze FBC vs Ligorna?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Celle Varazze FBC 1.23 · Ligorna 1.44), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Celle Varazze FBC vs Ligorna?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.