Football · Italy Serie D · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: Celle Varazze FBC vs Chisola

Team pages: Celle Varazze FBC · Chisola

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Celle Varazze FBC1.02
Chisola1.19
1X2
30% 31% 39%
Celle Varazze FBC Draw Chisola
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Celle Varazze FBC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWLLLL
Chisola 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWWDLWDL
Head-to-head
Celle Varazze FBC 0–2 Chisola (2 last)
  • Chisola2-0Celle Varazze FBC
  • Celle Varazze FBC0-1Chisola
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Celle Varazze FBC 1471 · Chisola 1503
Celle Varazze FBCDrawChisola
Our model30%32%38%
Market31%30%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Chisola: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Celle Varazze FBCChisola
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.81.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 01 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)75/25/0%43/29/29%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 31.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 03.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Celle Varazze FBC 0–0–2 Chisola

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/26
Italy Serie D
Chisola2-0
HT 0-0
Celle Varazze FBC
19/10/25
Italy Serie D
Celle Varazze FBC0-1Chisola

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 5500 15015
2 Sambiase 5410 9313
3 Igea Virtus 5311 131010
4 Vibonese 5311 13510
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 5230 829
6 Calcio Avola 1949 5302 8109
7 ASD Licata 5221 678
8 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 5212 987
9 Nissa FC 5212 887
10 Milazzo 5203 486
11 Siracusa 5320 844
12 Modica 5113 354
13 ASD CastrumFavara 5113 554
14 Città di Gela 5113 463
15 ASD Ragusa 5023 482
16 Vigor Lamezia 5023 5132
17 Enna Calcio 5014 0121
18 Trapani 5104 210-2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCelle Varazze FBCChisola
Ligorna 0-2 L 1-2 L
Sanremese 0-1 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chisola (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Celle Varazze FBC

DWWWWWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 53 L
16/09 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-3 –– L
12/09 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
06/09 Derthona
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
03/05 ASD Imperia
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
26/04 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 23 W
19/04 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
12/04 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
02/04 Derthona
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-0 52 W
29/03 Asti
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 05 D

Chisola

LDLWWDLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 33 L
20/09 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 22 D
16/09 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 45 W
13/09 USD Fezzanese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 65 L
06/09 Borgosesia
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
03/05 Valenzana
Italy Serie D
3-1 3-2 42 W
26/04 Lavagnese
Italy Serie D
– 4-2 –– W
19/04 ASDC Gozzano
Italy Serie D
1-2 2-3 44 L
12/04 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
02/04 FC Vado
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-2 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Celle Varazze FBC vs Chisola?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chisola win (39%). Probabilities: Celle Varazze FBC 30%, draw 31%, Chisola 39%.

How many goals are expected in Celle Varazze FBC vs Chisola?

The model expects 2.2 goals (Celle Varazze FBC 1.02 · Chisola 1.19), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Celle Varazze FBC vs Chisola?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.