Football · Italy Serie D · 04/10, 15:00
Prediction: Ligorna vs ACSD Saluzzo
Team pages: Ligorna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Ligorna1.62
ACSD Saluzzo1.03
1X2
Ligorna
Draw
ACSD Saluzzo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Ligorna
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
ACSD Saluzzo
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ligorna
4–1–1
ACSD Saluzzo
(6 last)
- ACSD Saluzzo1-2Ligorna
- Ligorna1-0ACSD Saluzzo
- Ligorna2-2ACSD Saluzzo
- ACSD Saluzzo3-2Ligorna
- ACSD Saluzzo1-2Ligorna
- Ligorna2-0ACSD Saluzzo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ligorna 1558 · ACSD Saluzzo 1503
| Ligorna | Draw | ACSD Saluzzo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ligorna (rating 1558 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Ligorna: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ligorna | ACSD Saluzzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.5 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.3 | 1 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ligorna 4–1–1 ACSD Saluzzo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Italy Serie D | ACSD Saluzzo | 1-2 | Ligorna |
| 21/09/25 Italy Serie D | Ligorna | 1-0 HT 1-0 | ACSD Saluzzo |
| 23/02/25 Italy Serie D | Ligorna | 2-2 HT 1-1 | ACSD Saluzzo |
| 23/10/24 Italy Serie D | ACSD Saluzzo | 3-2 | Ligorna |
| 02/02/22 Italy Serie D | ACSD Saluzzo | 1-2 | Ligorna |
| 26/09/21 Italy Serie D | Ligorna | 2-0 HT 1-0 | ACSD Saluzzo |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Igea Virtus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | ASD Licata | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Nissa FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Milazzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Siracusa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Modica | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | ASD CastrumFavara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | ASD Ragusa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | Vigor Lamezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| 18 | Trapani | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ligorna | ACSD Saluzzo |
|---|---|---|
| Celle Varazze FBC | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Derthona | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Biellesse | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Sanremese | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Citta di Varese | 5-3 W | 0-1 L |
| Asti | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ligorna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Chisola Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/09 | Derthona Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Citta di Varese Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 5-3 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | NovaRomentino Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 9-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Asti Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Chisola Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
ACSD Saluzzo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Derthona Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/09 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Borgosesia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Derthona Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Citta di Varese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Asti Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ligorna vs ACSD Saluzzo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ligorna win (50%). Probabilities: Ligorna 50%, draw 27%, ACSD Saluzzo 23%.
How many goals are expected in Ligorna vs ACSD Saluzzo?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Ligorna 1.62 · ACSD Saluzzo 1.03), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ligorna vs ACSD Saluzzo?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.