Football · Iraq Stars League · 20/08, 17:30

Prediction: Naft Maysan vs Al Naft SC

Team pages: Naft Maysan · Al Naft SC

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Naft Maysan1.08
Al Naft SC1.13
1X2
33% 31% 36%
Naft Maysan Draw Al Naft SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Naft Maysan 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLLWDWWLWD
Al Naft SC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LDDLDLDDWW
Head-to-head
Naft Maysan 3–3–0 Al Naft SC (6 last)
  • Naft Maysan3-0Al Naft SC
  • Al Naft SC1-2Naft Maysan
  • Al Naft SC0-0Naft Maysan
  • Naft Maysan0-0Al Naft SC
  • Al Naft SC0-2Naft Maysan
  • Naft Maysan0-0Al Naft SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Naft Maysan 1538 · Al Naft SC 1484
Naft MaysanDrawAl Naft SC
Our model33%32%35%
Market33%31%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naft Maysan (rating 1538 vs 1484).
  • H2H favours Naft Maysan: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Naft MaysanAl Naft SC
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.30.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.91.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.34.9 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Naft Maysan 330 Al Naft SC

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Iraq Stars League
Naft Maysan3-0
HT 2-0
Al Naft SC
23/01/26
Iraq Stars League
Al Naft SC1-2
HT 0-0
Naft Maysan
18/05/25
Iraq Stars League
Al Naft SC0-0
HT 0-0
Naft Maysan
06/10/24
Iraq Stars League
Naft Maysan0-0
HT 0-0
Al Naft SC
05/05/24
Iraq League
Al Naft SC0-2
HT 0-1
Naft Maysan
01/03/24
Iraq League
Naft Maysan0-0
HT 0-0
Al Naft SC

Standings · Iraq Stars League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Al Naft SC 1100 203
1 Erbil SC 1100 203
3 Diyala FC 1100 213
4 Zakho 1100 103
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1010 331
5 Newroz SC 1010 331
7 Al Gharraf 1010 111
7 Al Karma 1010 111
7 Mosul FC 1010 111
7 Al Shorta SC 1010 111
7 Duhok 1010 111
7 Karbalaa FC 1010 111
13 Al Jolan SC 1010 001
13 Al Minaa 1010 001
13 Naft Maysan 1010 001
13 Al Zawra'a 1010 001
17 Al Talaba 1001 120
18 Ghaz Al Shamal 1001 010
19 Al Kahrabaa 1001 020
19 Al Karkh 1001 020

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNaft MaysanAl Naft SC
Al Karma 1-1 D 0-0 D
Duhok 1-2 L 1-1 D
Zakho 1-3 L 1-1 D
Al Shorta SC 2-2 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Naft SC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Naft Maysan

DLLWDWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Al Jolan SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 78 D
02/06 Al Gharraf
Iraq Stars League
0-0 2-0 42 W
28/05 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-2 32 L
24/05 Al Najaf
Iraq Stars League
1-0 2-1 W
19/05 Al Qasim SC
Iraq Stars League
0-2 5-2 103 W
14/05 Al Karma
Iraq Stars League
1-0 1-1 36 D
10/05 Al Naft SC
Iraq Stars League
2-0 3-0 34 W
05/05 Duhok
Iraq Stars League
1-0 1-2 66 L
01/05 Zakho
Iraq Stars League
1-1 1-3 32 L
26/04 Al Shorta SC
Iraq Stars League
0-1 2-2 D

Al Naft SC

LDDLDLDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/06 Newroz SC
Iraq Stars League
1-0 2-1 95 W
27/05 Al Zawra'a
Iraq Stars League
1-0 1-0 15 W
19/05 Duhok
Iraq Stars League
0-0 1-1 62 D
14/05 Al Minaa
Iraq Stars League
0-0 1-1 85 D
10/05 Naft Maysan
Iraq Stars League
0-2 0-3 84 L
05/05 Al Karma
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 13 D
01/05 Al Shorta SC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-1 09 L
27/04 Zakho
Iraq Stars League
1-0 1-1 412 D
22/04 Mosul FC
Iraq Stars League
0-0 0-0 D
18/04 Diyala FC
Iraq Stars League
0-1 0-1 75 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Naft Maysan vs Al Naft SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Naft SC win (36%). Probabilities: Naft Maysan 33%, draw 31%, Al Naft SC 36%.

How many goals are expected in Naft Maysan vs Al Naft SC?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Naft Maysan 1.08 · Al Naft SC 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Naft Maysan vs Al Naft SC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.