Prediction: Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Kahrabaa
Team pages: Al Kahrabaa
| Ghaz Al Shamal | Draw | Al Kahrabaa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 30% | 36% |
| Market | 33% | 32% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ghaz Al Shamal (rating 1537 vs 1479).
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ghaz Al Shamal | Al Kahrabaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.1 | 1.3 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.5 | 5.9 / 0.2 |
Standings · Iraq Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Naft SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Erbil SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Diyala FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Zakho | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | Newroz SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | Al Gharraf | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Al Karma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Mosul FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Al Shorta SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Duhok | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Karbalaa FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Jolan SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Minaa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Naft Maysan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Zawra'a | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Al Talaba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Al Kahrabaa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Al Karkh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ghaz Al Shamal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Zakho Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Al Jolan SC Iraq Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 12/05 | Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC Iraq Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 23/04 | Kadhimiya SC Iraq Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/04 | Al Ramadi SC Iraq Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/02 | Al-Hussein Baghdad Iraq Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 29/01 | Al Jolan SC Iraq Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/01 | Al-Hudood SC Iraq Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 28/12 | Al-Jaish SC Iraq Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 07/10 | Al Etisalat SC Iraq Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
Al Kahrabaa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Erbil SC Iraq Stars League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | Duhok Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 19/05 | Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Amanat Baghdad Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 11/05 | Newroz SC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Erbil SC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 27/04 | Al Karkh Iraq Stars League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 23/04 | Zakho Iraq Stars League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 17/04 | Naft Maysan Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/04 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraq Stars League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Kahrabaa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Kahrabaa win (35%). Probabilities: Ghaz Al Shamal 34%, draw 31%, Al Kahrabaa 35%.
How many goals are expected in Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Kahrabaa?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Ghaz Al Shamal 1.21 · Al Kahrabaa 1.25), with a 59% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Kahrabaa?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.