Football · England Development League 2 · 20/10, 14:00
Prediction: Fleetwood Town U21 vs Barnsley U21
Team pages: Fleetwood Town U21 · Barnsley U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.75Total
Fleetwood Town U211.88
Barnsley U211.88
1X2
Fleetwood Town U21
Draw
Barnsley U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Fleetwood Town U21
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Barnsley U21
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fleetwood Town U21
1–1–4
Barnsley U21
(6 last)
- Barnsley U214-2Fleetwood Town U21
- Fleetwood Town U211-2Barnsley U21
- Fleetwood Town U212-1Barnsley U21
- Barnsley U213-3Fleetwood Town U21
- Fleetwood Town U212-4Barnsley U21
- Barnsley U213-2Fleetwood Town U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fleetwood Town U21 1463 · Barnsley U21 1488
| Fleetwood Town U21 | Draw | Barnsley U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 23% | 38% |
| Market | 39% | 22% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Barnsley U21: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fleetwood Town U21 | Barnsley U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 1.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fleetwood Town U21 1–1–4 Barnsley U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 England Development League 2 | Barnsley U21 | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
| 21/10/25 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Barnsley U21 |
| 11/03/25 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Barnsley U21 |
| 03/12/24 England Development League 2 | Barnsley U21 | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
| 09/01/24 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 2-4 HT 1-3 | Barnsley U21 |
| 24/10/23 England Development League 2 | Barnsley U21 | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Sheff Utd U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Bristol City U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 12 |
| 5 | Swansea U21 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Coventry U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 10 |
| 7 | Wigan U21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 22 | 10 |
| 8 | Cardiff U21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Huddersfield U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Charlton U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 11 | QPR U21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 12 | Barnsley U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
| 13 | Peterborough U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 7 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 6 |
| 15 | Colchester U21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 6 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fleetwood Town U21 | Barnsley U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wed U21 | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Coventry U21 | 2-1 W | 3-5 L |
| Colchester U21 | 0-4 L | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fleetwood Town U21 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fleetwood Town U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/09 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/08 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
0-4 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
1-5 | 2-6 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
Barnsley U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 25/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 15/09 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
1-4 | 3-5 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
4-3 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 18/08 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/04 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fleetwood Town U21 vs Barnsley U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fleetwood Town U21 win (39%). Probabilities: Fleetwood Town U21 39%, draw 23%, Barnsley U21 39%.
How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town U21 vs Barnsley U21?
The model expects 3.75 goals (Fleetwood Town U21 1.88 · Barnsley U21 1.88), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town U21 vs Barnsley U21?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.