Football · England Development League 2 · 06/11, 14:30
Prediction: Millwall U21 vs Cardiff U21
Team pages: Millwall U21 · Cardiff U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Millwall U211.84
Cardiff U211.56
1X2
Millwall U21
Draw
Cardiff U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Millwall U21
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Cardiff U21
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Millwall U21
4–1–1
Cardiff U21
(6 last)
- Millwall U211-1Cardiff U21
- Cardiff U214-0Millwall U21
- Cardiff U211-2Millwall U21
- Millwall U212-0Cardiff U21
- Millwall U215-1Cardiff U21
- Cardiff U210-1Millwall U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Millwall U21 1475 · Cardiff U21 1506
| Millwall U21 | Draw | Cardiff U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 22% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Millwall U21: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Millwall U21 | Cardiff U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.9 | 1.3 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Millwall U21 4–1–1 Cardiff U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 England Development League 2 | Millwall U21 | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cardiff U21 |
| 30/09/25 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Millwall U21 |
| 04/03/25 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Millwall U21 |
| 07/02/25 England Development League 2 | Millwall U21 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cardiff U21 |
| 18/12/23 England Development League 2 | Millwall U21 | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Cardiff U21 |
| 26/09/23 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Millwall U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Swansea U21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 4 | Coventry U21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 14 |
| 5 | Cardiff U21 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Sheff Utd U21 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Huddersfield U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Bristol City U21 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | Peterborough U21 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | Wigan U21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 10 |
| 11 | Colchester U21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 9 |
| 12 | Charlton U21 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 9 |
| 13 | Barnsley U21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 14 | QPR U21 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 8 |
| 15 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Millwall U21 | Cardiff U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton U21 | 0-1 L | 4-3 W |
| Coventry U21 | 4-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Sheffield Wed U21 | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Peterborough U21 | 1-2 L | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Cardiff U21 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Millwall U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/09 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 15/09 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 25/08 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 31/03 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 24/03 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 20/03 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/03 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Cardiff U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/10 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 13/10 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/08 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Millwall U21 vs Cardiff U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Millwall U21 win (44%). Probabilities: Millwall U21 44%, draw 23%, Cardiff U21 33%.
How many goals are expected in Millwall U21 vs Cardiff U21?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Millwall U21 1.84 · Cardiff U21 1.56), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Millwall U21 vs Cardiff U21?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.