Football · England Development League 2 · 06/11, 20:00
Prediction: Swansea U21 vs Bristol City U21
Team pages: Swansea U21 · Bristol City U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.7Total
Swansea U212.15
Bristol City U211.56
1X2
Swansea U21
Draw
Bristol City U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Swansea U21
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Bristol City U21
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Swansea U21
5–1–0
Bristol City U21
(6 last)
- Bristol City U211-1Swansea U21
- Swansea U214-1Bristol City U21
- Bristol City U213-4Swansea U21
- Swansea U212-0Bristol City U21
- Swansea U213-1Bristol City U21
- Bristol City U210-3Swansea U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Swansea U21 1532 · Bristol City U21 1523
| Swansea U21 | Draw | Bristol City U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 22% | 27% |
| Market | 51% | 21% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.7 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Swansea U21: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Swansea U21 | Bristol City U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 2.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 1.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Swansea U21 5–1–0 Bristol City U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/26 England Development League 2 | Bristol City U21 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Swansea U21 |
| 20/09/25 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Bristol City U21 |
| 18/04/25 England Development League 2 | Bristol City U21 | 3-4 HT 1-2 | Swansea U21 |
| 23/09/24 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Bristol City U21 |
| 20/04/24 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Bristol City U21 |
| 21/11/23 England Development League 2 | Bristol City U21 | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Swansea U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Swansea U21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 4 | Coventry U21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 14 |
| 5 | Cardiff U21 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Sheff Utd U21 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Huddersfield U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Bristol City U21 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | Peterborough U21 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | Wigan U21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 10 |
| 11 | Colchester U21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 9 |
| 12 | Charlton U21 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 9 |
| 13 | Barnsley U21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 14 | QPR U21 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 8 |
| 15 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Swansea U21 | Bristol City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton U21 | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Colchester U21 | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| QPR U21 | 4-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Hull U21 | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Peterborough U21 | 2-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Sheff Utd U21 | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bristol City U21 (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Swansea U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/10 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/10 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 28/09 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
3-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/09 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 25/08 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | D |
Bristol City U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/10 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 15/09 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 01/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 18/08 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Swansea U21 vs Bristol City U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Swansea U21 win (51%). Probabilities: Swansea U21 51%, draw 21%, Bristol City U21 28%.
How many goals are expected in Swansea U21 vs Bristol City U21?
The model expects 3.7 goals (Swansea U21 2.15 · Bristol City U21 1.56), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Swansea U21 vs Bristol City U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.