Football · England Development League 2 · 21/10, 14:00

Prediction: Peterborough U21 vs Sheffield Wed U21

Team pages: Peterborough U21 · Sheffield Wed U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Peterborough U212.08

Sheffield Wed U211.58

1X2

49% 22% 29%

Peterborough U21 Draw Sheffield Wed U21

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Peterborough U21 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWDLLL

Sheffield Wed U21 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWDLLL

Head-to-head

Peterborough U21 2–1–3 Sheffield Wed U21 (6 last)

Sheffield Wed U212-1Peterborough U21
Peterborough U213-0Sheffield Wed U21
Sheffield Wed U213-0Peterborough U21
Peterborough U211-3Sheffield Wed U21
Sheffield Wed U212-2Peterborough U21
Peterborough U211-0Sheffield Wed U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peterborough U21 1471 · Sheffield Wed U21 1486

	Peterborough U21	Draw	Sheffield Wed U21
Our model	49%	23%	29%
Market	50%	21%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sheffield Wed U21: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Peterborough U21	Sheffield Wed U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.3	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.3	2.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.33

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 1.80▼	Pinn 1.82
X	4.20 → 4.33▲	Pinn 4.41
2	2.63 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.16 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:02 +3’	2.00	4.20	2.63
12:59 +6’	1.80▼	4.33▲	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:40 +25’	1.85	4.38	3.09
12:53 +12’	1.82▼	4.41▲	3.16▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterborough U21 2–1–3 Sheffield Wed U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 England Development League 2	Sheffield Wed U21	2-1 HT 0-1	Peterborough U21
18/11/25 England Development League 2	Peterborough U21	3-0 HT 0-0	Sheffield Wed U21
07/03/25 England Development League 2	Sheffield Wed U21	3-0 HT 1-0	Peterborough U21
04/12/24 England Development League 2	Peterborough U21	1-3 HT 0-3	Sheffield Wed U21
06/02/24 England Development League 2	Sheffield Wed U21	2-2 HT 1-1	Peterborough U21
15/12/23 England Development League 2	Peterborough U21	1-0 HT 0-0	Sheffield Wed U21

Standings · England Development League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolton U21	7	6	0	1	19	5	18
2	Fleetwood Town U21	7	5	0	2	10	11	15
3	Sheff Utd U21	7	4	1	2	13	7	13
4	Bristol City U21	7	3	3	1	18	12	12
5	Swansea U21	7	4	0	3	13	10	12
6	Coventry U21	6	3	1	2	15	11	10
7	Wigan U21	8	2	4	2	19	22	10
8	Cardiff U21	6	2	3	1	14	6	9
9	Huddersfield U21	5	3	0	2	13	9	9
10	Charlton U21	7	2	3	2	11	12	9
11	QPR U21	9	2	2	5	16	23	8
12	Barnsley U21	6	2	1	3	11	15	7
13	Peterborough U21	6	2	1	3	8	16	7
14	Sheffield Wed U21	7	1	3	3	11	14	6
15	Colchester U21	7	2	0	5	14	21	6
16	Hull U21	6	1	2	3	9	13	5
17	Millwall U21	4	0	0	4	2	9	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Peterborough U21	Sheffield Wed U21
Fleetwood Town U21	0-1 L	1-3 L
Cardiff U21	0-6 L	0-0 D
Bristol City U21	3-3 D	1-1 D
Charlton U21	2-5 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sheffield Wed U21 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peterborough U21

LWDLWWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2	0-3	0-4	8	5	L
29/09	Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
18/09	Cardiff U21 England Development League 2	0-1	0-6	2	4	L
15/09	Bristol City U21 England Development League 2	1-2	3-3	3	0	D
25/08	Swansea U21 England Development League 2	1-1	3-2	7	5	W
18/08	QPR U21 England Development League 2	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/05	Nottm Forest U21 England Development League 2	0-0	0-1	11	4	L
14/04	Brentford U21 England Development League 2	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
07/04	Swansea U21 England Development League 2	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
31/03	Charlton U21 England Development League 2	1-3	2-5	5	4	L

Sheffield Wed U21

LWWDDWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2	1-1	2-5	1	6	L
02/10	Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2	0-2	1-3	5	2	L
25/09	Colchester U21 England Development League 2	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
13/09	Charlton U21 England Development League 2	1-1	2-2	5	0	D
04/09	Wigan U21 England Development League 2	2-0	4-1	2	0	W
01/09	Cardiff U21 England Development League 2	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
22/08	Bristol City U21 England Development League 2	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
20/04	Crewe U21 England Development League 2	3-0	3-0	2	1	W
14/04	Barnsley U21 England Development League 2	3-0	4-0	2	4	W
10/04	Cardiff U21 England Development League 2	0-1	1-2	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peterborough U21 vs Sheffield Wed U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterborough U21 win (49%). Probabilities: Peterborough U21 49%, draw 22%, Sheffield Wed U21 29%.

How many goals are expected in Peterborough U21 vs Sheffield Wed U21?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Peterborough U21 2.08 · Sheffield Wed U21 1.58), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Peterborough U21 vs Sheffield Wed U21?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.