Football · England Development League 2 · 10/11, 15:00
Prediction: Colchester U21 vs Charlton U21
Team pages: Colchester U21 · Charlton U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.49Total
Colchester U211.83
Charlton U212.66
1X2
Colchester U21
Draw
Charlton U21
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-2 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Colchester U21
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Charlton U21
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colchester U21
2–3–1
Charlton U21
(6 last)
- Charlton U212-2Colchester U21
- Colchester U212-2Charlton U21
- Charlton U218-1Colchester U21
- Colchester U212-2Charlton U21
- Colchester U214-2Charlton U21
- Charlton U211-2Colchester U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colchester U21 1472 · Charlton U21 1489
| Colchester U21 | Draw | Charlton U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 19% | 55% |
| Market | 26% | 18% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.49 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Colchester U21: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colchester U21 | Charlton U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.7 | 1.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.7 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colchester U21 2–3–1 Charlton U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 England Development League 2 | Charlton U21 | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Colchester U21 |
| 10/10/25 England Development League 2 | Colchester U21 | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Charlton U21 |
| 21/02/25 England Development League 2 | Charlton U21 | 8-1 HT 2-1 | Colchester U21 |
| 01/11/24 England Development League 2 | Colchester U21 | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Charlton U21 |
| 03/05/24 England Development League 2 | Colchester U21 | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Charlton U21 |
| 22/03/24 England Development League 2 | Charlton U21 | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Colchester U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Swansea U21 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 18 |
| 4 | Coventry U21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
| 5 | Cardiff U21 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 13 |
| 6 | Sheff Utd U21 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Huddersfield U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Bristol City U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 12 |
| 9 | Peterborough U21 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | QPR U21 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 11 |
| 11 | Wigan U21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 10 |
| 12 | Colchester U21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 9 |
| 13 | Charlton U21 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 9 |
| 14 | Barnsley U21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 15 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Millwall U21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Hull U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colchester U21 | Charlton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea U21 | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Sheffield Wed U21 | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Wigan U21 | 4-6 L | 2-2 D |
| Barnsley U21 | 3-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Bolton U21 | 0-7 L | 0-1 L |
| Bristol City U21 | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Charlton U21 (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colchester U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/10 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 29/09 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 25/09 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/09 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
3-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-7 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 14/08 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
4-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/04 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
Charlton U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/10 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 06/10 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 29/09 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 01/09 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/04 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colchester U21 vs Charlton U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Charlton U21 win (56%). Probabilities: Colchester U21 26%, draw 19%, Charlton U21 56%.
How many goals are expected in Colchester U21 vs Charlton U21?
The model expects 4.49 goals (Colchester U21 1.83 · Charlton U21 2.66), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Colchester U21 vs Charlton U21?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.