Football · England Development League 2 · 09/11, 14:00
Prediction: Coventry U21 vs QPR U21
Team pages: Coventry U21 · QPR U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.33Total
Coventry U212.58
QPR U211.75
1X2
Coventry U21
Draw
QPR U21
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Coventry U21
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
QPR U21
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coventry U21
3–1–1
QPR U21
(5 last)
- QPR U211-5Coventry U21
- QPR U213-4Coventry U21
- QPR U210-6Coventry U21
- QPR U214-2Coventry U21
- QPR U211-1Coventry U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coventry U21 1543 · QPR U21 1459
| Coventry U21 | Draw | QPR U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 20% | 25% |
| Market | 56% | 19% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.33 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coventry U21 (rating 1543 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Coventry U21: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coventry U21 | QPR U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coventry U21 3–1–1 QPR U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/26 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 1-5 HT 0-1 | Coventry U21 |
| 12/08/25 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 3-4 HT 1-2 | Coventry U21 |
| 13/08/24 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 0-6 HT 0-2 | Coventry U21 |
| 21/08/23 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Coventry U21 |
| 03/04/23 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Coventry U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Swansea U21 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 18 |
| 4 | Coventry U21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 14 |
| 5 | Cardiff U21 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 13 |
| 6 | Sheff Utd U21 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Huddersfield U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Bristol City U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 12 |
| 9 | Peterborough U21 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | Wigan U21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 10 |
| 11 | Colchester U21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 9 |
| 12 | Charlton U21 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 9 |
| 13 | Barnsley U21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 14 | QPR U21 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 8 |
| 15 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Millwall U21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Hull U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coventry U21 | QPR U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff U21 | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Swansea U21 | 2-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Colchester U21 | 1-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Bolton U21 | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Fleetwood Town U21 | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Huddersfield U21 | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Coventry U21 (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coventry U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/10 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/10 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/09 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 15/09 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
4-1 | 5-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
QPR U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/10 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 06/10 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/09 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/09 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 18/08 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coventry U21 vs QPR U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coventry U21 win (55%). Probabilities: Coventry U21 55%, draw 19%, QPR U21 25%.
How many goals are expected in Coventry U21 vs QPR U21?
The model expects 4.33 goals (Coventry U21 2.58 · QPR U21 1.75), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Coventry U21 vs QPR U21?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.