Football · England Development League 2 · 10/11, 14:00
Prediction: Hull U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21
Team pages: Hull U21 · Fleetwood Town U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.43Total
Hull U212.16
Fleetwood Town U211.27
1X2
Hull U21
Draw
Fleetwood Town U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Hull U21
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Fleetwood Town U21
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hull U21
3–1–2
Fleetwood Town U21
(6 last)
- Hull U214-1Fleetwood Town U21
- Fleetwood Town U211-1Hull U21
- Hull U215-1Fleetwood Town U21
- Fleetwood Town U211-3Hull U21
- Fleetwood Town U211-0Hull U21
- Hull U210-3Fleetwood Town U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hull U21 1508 · Fleetwood Town U21 1502
| Hull U21 | Draw | Fleetwood Town U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| Market | 58% | 20% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hull U21: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hull U21 | Fleetwood Town U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.1 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hull U21 3–1–2 Fleetwood Town U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/26 England Development League 2 | Hull U21 | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
| 23/09/25 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Hull U21 |
| 07/03/25 England Development League 2 | Hull U21 | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
| 21/01/25 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Hull U21 |
| 15/03/24 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hull U21 |
| 05/03/24 England Development League 2 | Hull U21 | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Swansea U21 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 18 |
| 4 | Coventry U21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
| 5 | Cardiff U21 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 13 |
| 6 | Sheff Utd U21 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Huddersfield U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Bristol City U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 12 |
| 9 | Peterborough U21 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | QPR U21 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 11 |
| 11 | Wigan U21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 10 |
| 12 | Colchester U21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 9 |
| 13 | Charlton U21 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 9 |
| 14 | Barnsley U21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 15 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Millwall U21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Hull U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hull U21 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley U21 | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Swansea U21 | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| QPR U21 | 3-3 D | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hull U21 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hull U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/10 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/09 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 22/09 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 25/08 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 20/04 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/04 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/04 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Fleetwood Town U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/10 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/10 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/09 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/08 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
0-4 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hull U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hull U21 win (57%). Probabilities: Hull U21 57%, draw 21%, Fleetwood Town U21 22%.
How many goals are expected in Hull U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
The model expects 3.43 goals (Hull U21 2.16 · Fleetwood Town U21 1.27), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.