Football · England Development League 2 · 20/10, 15:00
Prediction: Coventry U21 vs Swansea U21
Team pages: Coventry U21 · Swansea U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.87Total
Coventry U211.87
Swansea U212
1X2
Coventry U21
Draw
Swansea U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Coventry U21
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Swansea U21
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coventry U21
2–2
Swansea U21
(4 last)
- Coventry U210-1Swansea U21
- Coventry U212-1Swansea U21
- Coventry U212-3Swansea U21
- Swansea U212-3Coventry U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coventry U21 1520 · Swansea U21 1525
| Coventry U21 | Draw | Swansea U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 23% | 41% |
| Market | 37% | 21% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.87 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coventry U21 | Swansea U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.1 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coventry U21 2–0–2 Swansea U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/25 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Swansea U21 |
| 25/04/25 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Swansea U21 |
| 12/09/23 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Swansea U21 |
| 11/11/22 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Coventry U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Sheff Utd U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Bristol City U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 12 |
| 5 | Swansea U21 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Coventry U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 10 |
| 7 | Wigan U21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 22 | 10 |
| 8 | Cardiff U21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Huddersfield U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Charlton U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 11 | QPR U21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 12 | Barnsley U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
| 13 | Peterborough U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 7 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 6 |
| 15 | Colchester U21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 6 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coventry U21 | Swansea U21 |
|---|---|---|
| QPR U21 | 5-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Colchester U21 | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Fleetwood Town U21 | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Huddersfield U21 | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coventry U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/09 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 15/09 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
4-1 | 5-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/04 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Swansea U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 28/09 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
3-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/09 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 25/08 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 19/04 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coventry U21 vs Swansea U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Swansea U21 win (42%). Probabilities: Coventry U21 37%, draw 22%, Swansea U21 42%.
How many goals are expected in Coventry U21 vs Swansea U21?
The model expects 3.87 goals (Coventry U21 1.87 · Swansea U21 2), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Coventry U21 vs Swansea U21?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.