Prediction: RFS vs Tukums 2000
Team pages: RFS · Tukums 2000
- Tukums 20000-1RFS
- RFS3-1Tukums 2000
- Tukums 20001-2RFS
- Tukums 20002-4RFS
- RFS6-2Tukums 2000
- Tukums 20002-5RFS
| RFS | Draw | Tukums 2000 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 86% | 9% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RFS (rating 1595 vs 1406).
- H2H favours RFS: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RFS | Tukums 2000 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 7.2 | 1.9 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RFS 6–0–0 Tukums 2000
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/26 Latvia Virsliga | Tukums 2000 | 0-1 HT 0-1 | RFS |
| 25/05/26 Latvia Virsliga | RFS | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Tukums 2000 |
| 13/04/26 Latvia Virsliga | Tukums 2000 | 1-2 HT 0-1 | RFS |
| 19/10/25 Latvia Virsliga | Tukums 2000 | 2-4 HT 2-2 | RFS |
| 26/07/25 Latvia Virsliga | RFS | 6-2 HT 3-2 | Tukums 2000 |
| 25/05/25 Latvia Virsliga | Tukums 2000 | 2-5 HT 0-3 | RFS |
Standings · Latvia Virsliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 32 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 79 | 24 | 80 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 30 | 76 |
| 3 | FK Auda | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 64 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 42 |
| 6 | SK Super Nova | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 45 | 38 |
| 7 | FK Jelgava | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 53 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Grobinas | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 22 | 54 | 26 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 63 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 31 | 78 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RFS | Tukums 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| SK Super Nova | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FK Jelgava | 4-2 W | 1-4 L |
| FK Auda | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| BFC Daugavpils | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FK Liepaja | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Ogre United | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Riga FC | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| SC Grobinas | 6-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: RFS (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RFS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/08 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
4-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
Tukums 2000
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/09 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RFS vs Tukums 2000?
According to our model, the most likely result is a RFS win (82%). Probabilities: RFS 82%, draw 12%, Tukums 2000 6%.
How many goals are expected in RFS vs Tukums 2000?
The model expects 3.78 goals (RFS 2.89 · Tukums 2000 0.89), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in RFS vs Tukums 2000?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.