Football · USA USL League One · 01/10, 01:00

Prediction: Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity FC

Team pages: Chattanooga Red Wolves · Spokane Velocity FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Chattanooga Red Wolves1.55

Spokane Velocity FC1.38

1X2

40% 27% 33%

Chattanooga Red Wolves Draw Spokane Velocity FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Chattanooga Red Wolves 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Spokane Velocity FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–2 Spokane Velocity FC (4 last)

Spokane Velocity FC1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves
Chattanooga Red Wolves3-0Spokane Velocity FC
Chattanooga Red Wolves0-1Spokane Velocity FC
Spokane Velocity FC2-1Chattanooga Red Wolves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1511 · Spokane Velocity FC 1546

	Chattanooga Red Wolves	Draw	Spokane Velocity FC
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chattanooga Red Wolves	Spokane Velocity FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.4	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +3’	2.20	3.40	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–0–2 Spokane Velocity FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/09/25 USA USL League One	Spokane Velocity FC	1-2 HT 0-0	Chattanooga Red Wolves
20/07/25 USA USL League One	Chattanooga Red Wolves	3-0 HT 2-0	Spokane Velocity FC
08/08/24 USA USL League One	Chattanooga Red Wolves	0-1 HT 0-0	Spokane Velocity FC
07/07/24 USA USL League One	Spokane Velocity FC	2-1 HT 2-1	Chattanooga Red Wolves

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	29	19	4	6	53	31	61
2	Charlotte Independence	28	17	6	5	64	40	57
3	Forward Madison FC	28	15	6	7	50	27	51
4	One Knoxville SC	28	13	9	6	44	31	48
5	AC Boise	28	13	7	8	44	39	46
6	Chattanooga Red Wolves	27	13	4	10	47	39	43
7	Spokane Velocity FC	25	13	4	8	37	33	43
8	Fort Wayne FC	27	10	8	9	42	36	38
9	Corpus Christi FC	27	9	9	9	32	37	36
10	Sarasota Paradise	27	9	6	12	37	40	33
11	Antelope Valley Alta	28	8	8	12	34	40	32
12	FC Naples	27	9	4	14	30	43	31
13	Westchester SC	28	8	6	14	46	45	30
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	28	7	9	12	40	50	30
15	New York Cosmos	27	7	4	16	35	54	25
16	Greenville Triumph SC	27	6	5	16	30	51	23
17	Richmond Kickers	27	5	5	17	27	56	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chattanooga Red Wolves	Spokane Velocity FC
Forward Madison FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Richmond Kickers	1-1 D	2-0 W
Greenville Triumph SC	3-1 W	2-1 W
Westchester SC	1-0 W	3-1 W
AC Boise	2-3 L	2-2 D
Sarasota Paradise	2-3 L	1-1 D
Fort Wayne FC	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Spokane Velocity FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chattanooga Red Wolves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FC Naples USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	11	10	L
20/09	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
17/09	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
13/09	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	1-0	1-1	9	5	D
06/09	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	2-0	3-1	1	2	W
03/09	Westchester SC USA USL League One	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
30/08	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-1	2-3	3	6	L
23/08	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	2-1	3-3	3	4	D
20/08	Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One	1-3	2-3	4	2	L
16/08	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	0-1	2-1	3	6	W

Spokane Velocity FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
21/09	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-2	2-2	2	3	D
16/09	Union Omaha USA USL League One	0-2	1-3	3	4	L
06/09	Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
30/08	Westchester SC USA USL League One	2-1	3-1	2	3	W
23/08	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	2-0	2-1	8	5	W
16/08	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	1-0	2-3	3	5	L
26/07	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	0-1	3-1	6	6	W
23/07	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-0	3-0	2	3	W
19/07	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	2-0	2-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chattanooga Red Wolves win (40%). Probabilities: Chattanooga Red Wolves 40%, draw 27%, Spokane Velocity FC 33%.

How many goals are expected in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity FC?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.55 · Spokane Velocity FC 1.38), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.