Football · USA USL League One · 08/10, 02:30

Prediction: Corpus Christi FC vs Fort Wayne FC

Team pages: Corpus Christi FC · Fort Wayne FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Corpus Christi FC1.47

Fort Wayne FC1.34

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Corpus Christi FC Draw Fort Wayne FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Corpus Christi FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLLWWL

Fort Wayne FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLDDD

Head-to-head

Corpus Christi FC 0–1–0 Fort Wayne FC (1 last)

Fort Wayne FC1-1Corpus Christi FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corpus Christi FC 1495 · Fort Wayne FC 1488

	Corpus Christi FC	Draw	Fort Wayne FC
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Corpus Christi FC	Fort Wayne FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.2	2.5 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.4	5.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.25▼	Bet365 2.25
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.59 ★
2	2.35 → 2.63▲	Pinn 2.77

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:52 +8’	2.50	3.40	2.35
17:13 +6’	2.25▼	3.40	2.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:23 +175’	2.21	3.59	2.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Corpus Christi FC 0–1–0 Fort Wayne FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/05/26 USA USL League One	Fort Wayne FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Corpus Christi FC

Standings · USA USL League One

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	29	19	4	6	53	31	61
2	Charlotte Independence	29	18	6	5	67	42	60
3	Forward Madison FC	29	15	7	7	50	27	52
4	AC Boise	29	14	7	8	45	39	49
5	One Knoxville SC	29	13	9	7	46	34	48
6	Spokane Velocity FC	27	14	5	8	41	36	47
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	29	14	4	11	50	40	46
8	Fort Wayne FC	28	10	9	9	42	36	39
9	Corpus Christi FC	28	9	9	10	32	40	36
10	FC Naples	28	10	4	14	32	44	34
11	Westchester SC	29	9	6	14	48	46	33
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39	43	33
13	Antelope Valley Alta	29	8	8	13	35	42	32
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43	53	31
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36	56	25
16	Greenville Triumph SC	28	6	5	17	30	52	23
17	Richmond Kickers	28	6	5	17	30	58	23

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Corpus Christi FC	Fort Wayne FC
Chattanooga Red Wolves	0-3 L	1-2 L
Greenville Triumph SC	1-0 W	3-1 W
Forward Madison FC	0-2 L	0-0 D
New York Cosmos	0-2 L	2-4 L
Portland Hearts of Pine	2-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Fort Wayne FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corpus Christi FC

DWWLDLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
27/09	AC Boise USA USL League One	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
16/09	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	1-0	1-0	5	10	W
13/09	Union Omaha USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
06/09	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-2	4	7	L
23/08	Westchester SC USA USL League One	0-2	2-2	11	5	D
20/08	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
16/08	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	0-1	3-2	2	5	W
09/08	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
02/08	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	7	6	D

Fort Wayne FC

LLWWLWLDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
26/09	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
20/09	FC Naples USA USL League One	0-2	2-2	7	8	D
17/09	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	2-0	2-3	7	6	L
13/09	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	2-1	3-1	2	7	W
06/09	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	0-2	2-4	9	7	L
03/09	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
30/08	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	2-0	4-1	1	6	W
16/08	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	1-0	1-2	10	7	L
09/08	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	0-1	0-3	13	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corpus Christi FC vs Fort Wayne FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Corpus Christi FC win (39%). Probabilities: Corpus Christi FC 39%, draw 27%, Fort Wayne FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Corpus Christi FC vs Fort Wayne FC?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Corpus Christi FC 1.47 · Fort Wayne FC 1.34), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Corpus Christi FC vs Fort Wayne FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.