Football · USA USL League One · 08/10, 01:00
Prediction: One Knoxville SC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
Team pages: One Knoxville SC · Chattanooga Red Wolves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
One Knoxville SC1.44
Chattanooga Red Wolves1.03
1X2
One Knoxville SC
Draw
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
One Knoxville SC
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Chattanooga Red Wolves
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
One Knoxville SC
1–2–3
Chattanooga Red Wolves
(6 last)
- Chattanooga Red Wolves1-0One Knoxville SC
- One Knoxville SC1-1Chattanooga Red Wolves
- One Knoxville SC2-0Chattanooga Red Wolves
- Chattanooga Red Wolves1-0One Knoxville SC
- Chattanooga Red Wolves1-0One Knoxville SC
- Chattanooga Red Wolves1-1One Knoxville SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · One Knoxville SC 1492 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1526
| One Knoxville SC | Draw | Chattanooga Red Wolves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 29% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chattanooga Red Wolves: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| One Knoxville SC | Chattanooga Red Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6 | 3.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · One Knoxville SC 1–2–3 Chattanooga Red Wolves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1-0 HT 0-0 | One Knoxville SC |
| 11/06/26 USA USL Cup | One Knoxville SC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
| 02/10/25 USA USL League One | One Knoxville SC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
| 27/07/25 USA USL Cup | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1-0 HT 0-0 | One Knoxville SC |
| 06/07/25 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1-0 HT 1-0 | One Knoxville SC |
| 06/10/24 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1-1 HT 1-0 | One Knoxville SC |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67 | 42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison FC | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 27 | 52 |
| 4 | AC Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 49 |
| 5 | One Knoxville SC | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 48 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity FC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 50 | 40 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 36 | 39 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 36 |
| 10 | FC Naples | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 44 | 34 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 43 | 33 |
| 13 | Antelope Valley Alta | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph SC | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 58 | 23 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | One Knoxville SC | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Richmond Kickers | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Westchester SC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| FC Naples | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Forward Madison FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| AC Boise | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Greenville Triumph SC | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 6 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chattanooga Red Wolves (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
One Knoxville SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/09 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 17/09 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 3-2 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/09 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
Chattanooga Red Wolves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/10 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 20/09 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 17/09 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 03/09 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in One Knoxville SC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a One Knoxville SC win (46%). Probabilities: One Knoxville SC 46%, draw 27%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 27%.
How many goals are expected in One Knoxville SC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
The model expects 2.48 goals (One Knoxville SC 1.44 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in One Knoxville SC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.