Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 08/11, 12:00

Prediction: Hercules II vs Soneja

Team pages: Hercules II · Soneja

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Hercules II1.58

Soneja1.02

1X2

49% 28% 23%

Hercules II Draw Soneja

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Hercules II 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Soneja 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLDWLLLWL

Head-to-head

Hercules II 1–1 Soneja (2 last)

Soneja1-2Hercules II
Hercules II1-2Soneja

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hercules II 1501 · Soneja 1469

	Hercules II	Draw	Soneja
Our model	49%	28%	23%
Market	49%	28%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hercules II	Soneja
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 2.8	1.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	6.7 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.20

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:21 +11’	1.83	3.20	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hercules II 1–0–1 Soneja

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Soneja	1-2 HT 0-1	Hercules II
15/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Hercules II	1-2	Soneja

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	9	8	0	1	15	6	24
2	Levante B	9	5	3	1	15	4	18
3	Hercules II	8	3	4	1	10	7	13
4	UD Vall De Uxo	8	3	4	1	9	5	13
5	Torrent C.F.	8	4	1	3	12	8	13
6	CD Roda	8	3	3	2	10	8	12
7	Acero	9	2	6	1	9	7	12
8	CD Bunol	8	3	2	3	7	9	11
9	Atletico Saguntino	8	3	2	3	13	12	11
10	Crevillente	9	2	5	2	10	10	11
11	Eldense B	9	2	4	3	8	8	10
12	Ontinyent	8	2	2	4	10	11	8
13	SC Torrevieja CF	9	2	2	5	8	15	8
14	Atzeneta	8	1	5	2	8	10	8
15	Athletic Torrellano	8	2	2	4	8	12	8
16	Jove Espanol	8	1	4	3	9	15	7
17	Soneja	8	2	1	5	8	15	7
18	Utiel	8	0	4	4	5	12	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hercules II	Soneja
Torrent C.F.	1-0 W	0-2 L
Eldense B	1-0 W	3-2 W
Athletic Torrellano	3-1 W	0-2 L
Jove Espanol	2-2 D	1-2 L
SC Torrevieja CF	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hercules II (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hercules II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
24/10	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/10	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
03/10	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
26/09	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
13/09	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	2-0	2-2	1	9	D
05/09	SC Torrevieja CF Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
09/05	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
02/05	UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	1-4	3	1	L

Soneja

WWLDWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	0-2	4	7	L
24/10	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	3-2	3	6	W
11/10	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
03/10	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-2	3	14	L
27/09	SC Torrevieja CF Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
20/09	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
13/09	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	2-2	5	3	D
06/09	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-3	2	11	L
09/05	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	–	5-2	–	–	W
02/05	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hercules II vs Soneja?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hercules II win (49%). Probabilities: Hercules II 49%, draw 28%, Soneja 23%.

How many goals are expected in Hercules II vs Soneja?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Hercules II 1.58 · Soneja 1.02), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hercules II vs Soneja?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.