Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 14/11, 18:00

Prediction: Crevillente vs Jove Espanol

Team pages: Crevillente · Jove Espanol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Crevillente1.69

Jove Espanol1.22

1X2

47% 27% 26%

Crevillente Draw Jove Espanol

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Crevillente 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDWLDLDW

Jove Espanol 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLDWDLDW

Head-to-head

Crevillente 2–3–1 Jove Espanol (6 last)

Jove Espanol2-2Crevillente
Crevillente1-1Jove Espanol
Crevillente2-1Jove Espanol
Jove Espanol1-3Crevillente
Jove Espanol0-0Crevillente
Crevillente3-4Jove Espanol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Crevillente 1512 · Jove Espanol 1474

	Crevillente	Draw	Jove Espanol
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	46%	28%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Crevillente: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 14.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Crevillente	Jove Espanol
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	1.6 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.3	8.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.20

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:00 +9’	1.95	3.20	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Crevillente 2–3–1 Jove Espanol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Jove Espanol	2-2 HT 2-1	Crevillente
07/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	1-1 HT 1-1	Jove Espanol
02/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	2-1 HT 1-1	Jove Espanol
19/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Jove Espanol	1-3 HT 0-2	Crevillente
03/03/21 Spain Tercera Group 6	Jove Espanol	0-0 HT 0-0	Crevillente
15/11/20 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	3-4 HT 2-3	Jove Espanol

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	10	8	0	2	15	7	24
2	Levante B	10	5	4	1	15	4	19
3	Hercules II	9	4	4	1	11	7	16
4	Torrent C.F.	9	5	1	3	15	9	16
5	Acero	10	3	6	1	11	8	15
6	Crevillente	10	3	5	2	13	12	14
7	Eldense B	10	3	4	3	11	8	13
8	UD Vall De Uxo	9	3	4	2	10	7	13
9	CD Roda	9	3	3	3	11	11	12
10	CD Bunol	9	3	3	3	10	12	12
11	Ontinyent	10	3	2	5	13	13	11
12	Atletico Saguntino	9	3	2	4	13	15	11
13	Jove Espanol	9	2	4	3	10	15	10
14	Atzeneta	9	1	6	2	8	10	9
15	Athletic Torrellano	9	2	2	5	9	15	8
15	Utiel	10	1	5	4	9	15	8
17	SC Torrevieja CF	10	2	2	6	10	18	8
18	Soneja	9	2	1	6	8	16	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Crevillente	Jove Espanol
Levante B	0-0 D	0-2 L
Villarreal C	0-1 L	1-0 W
Ontinyent	3-2 W	2-2 D
CD Roda	1-1 D	1-1 D
Soneja	2-2 D	2-1 W
Acero	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Crevillente (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Crevillente

WDDDWLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	SC Torrevieja CF Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	3-2	5	9	W
01/11	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
25/10	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
20/10	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
17/10	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
10/10	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	2-1	3-2	3	8	W
27/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	2-2	4	3	D
19/09	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
13/09	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	2-1	2-2	6	3	D
05/09	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	9	6	W

Jove Espanol

LLDLDWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-0	–	–	W
01/11	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-2	0	11	D
24/10	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-2	4	13	L
10/10	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
03/10	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-1	3	14	W
26/09	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-1	8	8	D
20/09	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
13/09	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	2-2	4	9	D
05/09	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	0-4	1	4	L
09/05	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	–	2-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crevillente vs Jove Espanol?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Crevillente win (47%). Probabilities: Crevillente 47%, draw 27%, Jove Espanol 26%.

How many goals are expected in Crevillente vs Jove Espanol?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Crevillente 1.69 · Jove Espanol 1.22), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Crevillente vs Jove Espanol?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.