Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 15/11, 11:30

Prediction: Levante B vs Eldense B

Team pages: Levante B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

Levante B1.44

Eldense B0.6

1X2

58% 27% 15%

Levante B Draw Eldense B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Levante B 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWDWDD

Eldense B 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLDDLLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Levante B 1570 · Eldense B 1500

	Levante B	Draw	Eldense B
Our model	57%	29%	14%
Market	59%	25%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levante B (rating 1570 vs 1500).
Cards-heavy: 13.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Levante B	Eldense B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	25/75/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.9	1.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.1 / 0.3	6.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.60

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:59 +13’	1.53	3.60	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	10	8	0	2	15	7	24
2	Levante B	10	5	4	1	15	4	19
3	Hercules II	9	4	4	1	11	7	16
4	Torrent C.F.	9	5	1	3	15	9	16
5	Acero	10	3	6	1	11	8	15
6	Crevillente	10	3	5	2	13	12	14
7	Eldense B	10	3	4	3	11	8	13
8	UD Vall De Uxo	9	3	4	2	10	7	13
9	CD Roda	9	3	3	3	11	11	12
10	CD Bunol	9	3	3	3	10	12	12
11	Ontinyent	10	3	2	5	13	13	11
12	Atletico Saguntino	9	3	2	4	13	15	11
13	Jove Espanol	9	2	4	3	10	15	10
14	Atzeneta	9	1	6	2	8	10	9
15	Athletic Torrellano	9	2	2	5	9	15	8
15	Utiel	10	1	5	4	9	15	8
17	SC Torrevieja CF	10	2	2	6	10	18	8
18	Soneja	9	2	1	6	8	16	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Levante B	Eldense B
Atzeneta	0-0 D	0-0 D
Athletic Torrellano	1-1 D	1-0 W
CD Bunol	0-0 D	1-1 D
Atletico Saguntino	1-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Eldense B (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Levante B

LDWWWWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	7	9	D
01/11	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
24/10	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-0	1	13	W
20/10	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
17/10	SC Torrevieja CF Spain Tercera Group 6	2-0	4-1	1	6	W
09/10	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	3-0	3	6	W
26/09	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
20/09	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	4	9	W
12/09	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
06/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	1-2	7	7	L

Eldense B

WDDWLDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	2-0	3-0	2	11	W
31/10	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
24/10	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-3	8	6	L
17/10	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	4	8	D
11/10	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	5	10	D
03/10	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
26/09	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	2-0	3-1	3	6	W
20/09	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	0	7	D
13/09	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-0	–	–	D
06/09	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Levante B vs Eldense B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Levante B win (58%). Probabilities: Levante B 58%, draw 27%, Eldense B 15%.

How many goals are expected in Levante B vs Eldense B?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Levante B 1.44 · Eldense B 0.6), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Levante B vs Eldense B?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.