Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: Ontinyent vs Atzeneta

Team pages: Ontinyent · Atzeneta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Ontinyent1.33

Atzeneta0.92

1X2

45% 30% 25%

Ontinyent Draw Atzeneta

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Ontinyent 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDDWL

Atzeneta 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDDDDWLD

Head-to-head

Ontinyent 1–3–2 Atzeneta (6 last)

Atzeneta2-1Ontinyent
Ontinyent1-1Atzeneta
Ontinyent1-0Atzeneta
Atzeneta0-0Ontinyent
Ontinyent0-1Atzeneta
Atzeneta1-1Ontinyent

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ontinyent 1472 · Atzeneta 1494

	Ontinyent	Draw	Atzeneta
Our model	45%	31%	25%
Market	45%	30%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Atzeneta: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ontinyent	Atzeneta
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	29/57/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	1.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.6 / 0.3	5.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:59 +23’	2.00	3.00	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ontinyent 1–3–2 Atzeneta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Atzeneta	2-1	Ontinyent
04/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Ontinyent	1-1 HT 0-0	Atzeneta
02/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Ontinyent	1-0	Atzeneta
19/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Atzeneta	0-0 HT 0-0	Ontinyent
26/05/24 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs	Ontinyent	0-1 HT 0-0	Atzeneta
18/05/24 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs	Atzeneta	1-1 HT 1-0	Ontinyent

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	10	8	0	2	15	7	24
2	Levante B	10	5	4	1	15	4	19
3	Hercules II	9	4	4	1	11	7	16
4	Torrent C.F.	9	5	1	3	15	9	16
5	Acero	10	3	6	1	11	8	15
6	Crevillente	10	3	5	2	13	12	14
7	Eldense B	10	3	4	3	11	8	13
8	UD Vall De Uxo	9	3	4	2	10	7	13
9	CD Roda	9	3	3	3	11	11	12
10	CD Bunol	9	3	3	3	10	12	12
11	Ontinyent	10	3	2	5	13	13	11
12	Atletico Saguntino	9	3	2	4	13	15	11
13	Jove Espanol	9	2	4	3	10	15	10
14	Atzeneta	9	1	6	2	8	10	9
15	Athletic Torrellano	9	2	2	5	9	15	8
15	Utiel	10	1	5	4	9	15	8
17	SC Torrevieja CF	10	2	2	6	10	18	8
18	Soneja	9	2	1	6	8	16	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ontinyent	Atzeneta
CD Bunol	3-0 W	1-2 L
Levante B	0-2 L	0-0 D
Atletico Saguntino	1-0 W	1-3 L
CD Roda	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ontinyent

LWLWLLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
08/11	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	3-1	5	6	W
01/11	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-2	4	11	D
25/10	SC Torrevieja CF Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
10/10	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	2-3	12	8	L
04/10	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-2	1	7	L
27/09	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
20/09	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-2	2	9	L
13/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	1	9	W
06/09	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-2	4	8	L

Atzeneta

WLDDDDDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	6	9	D
31/10	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-3	0	8	L
24/10	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
10/10	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	–	–	D
04/10	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
26/09	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
13/09	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-2	5	6	L
09/05	UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ontinyent vs Atzeneta?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ontinyent win (45%). Probabilities: Ontinyent 45%, draw 30%, Atzeneta 25%.

How many goals are expected in Ontinyent vs Atzeneta?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Ontinyent 1.33 · Atzeneta 0.92), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ontinyent vs Atzeneta?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.