Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 14/11, 17:00

Prediction: CD Roda vs Hercules II

Team pages: CD Roda · Hercules II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

CD Roda1.07

Hercules II0.95

1X2

37% 31% 31%

CD Roda Draw Hercules II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Roda 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDDWDLWL

Hercules II 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLDWDWWDDW

Head-to-head

CD Roda 3–1–2 Hercules II (6 last)

CD Roda1-0Hercules II
Hercules II1-0CD Roda
Hercules II0-1CD Roda
CD Roda0-2Hercules II
Hercules II0-0CD Roda
CD Roda1-0Hercules II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Roda 1497 · Hercules II 1519

	CD Roda	Draw	Hercules II
Our model	36%	33%	30%
Market	38%	30%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Roda: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Roda	Hercules II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	25/63/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.6	2.1 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:44 +29’	2.38	3.00	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Roda 3–1–2 Hercules II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Roda	1-0 HT 0-0	Hercules II
04/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Hercules II	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Roda
29/01/23 Spain Tercera Group 6	Hercules II	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Roda
25/09/22 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Roda	0-2	Hercules II
29/01/22 Spain Tercera Group 6	Hercules II	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Roda
03/10/21 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Roda	1-0 HT 1-0	Hercules II

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	10	8	0	2	15	7	24
2	Levante B	10	5	4	1	15	4	19
3	Hercules II	9	4	4	1	11	7	16
4	Torrent C.F.	9	5	1	3	15	9	16
5	Acero	10	3	6	1	11	8	15
6	Crevillente	10	3	5	2	13	12	14
7	Eldense B	10	3	4	3	11	8	13
8	UD Vall De Uxo	9	3	4	2	10	7	13
9	CD Roda	9	3	3	3	11	11	12
10	CD Bunol	9	3	3	3	10	12	12
11	Ontinyent	10	3	2	5	13	13	11
12	Atletico Saguntino	9	3	2	4	13	15	11
13	Jove Espanol	9	2	4	3	10	15	10
14	Atzeneta	9	1	6	2	8	10	9
15	Athletic Torrellano	9	2	2	5	9	15	8
15	Utiel	10	1	5	4	9	15	8
17	SC Torrevieja CF	10	2	2	6	10	18	8
18	Soneja	9	2	1	6	8	16	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Roda	Hercules II
Torrent C.F.	1-3 L	1-0 W
Eldense B	1-0 W	1-0 W
Atzeneta	1-2 L	1-1 D
Jove Espanol	1-1 D	2-2 D
SC Torrevieja CF	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hercules II (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Roda

LWLDDWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-3	7	4	L
31/10	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
24/10	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-2	6	6	L
10/10	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-1	12	7	D
03/10	SC Torrevieja CF Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
27/09	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
19/09	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
13/09	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-2	2	6	L
06/09	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
09/05	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-2	2	1	L

Hercules II

LLDWDWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
01/11	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
24/10	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/10	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
03/10	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
26/09	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
13/09	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	2-0	2-2	1	9	D
05/09	SC Torrevieja CF Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
09/05	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-3	3	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Roda vs Hercules II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Roda win (37%). Probabilities: CD Roda 37%, draw 31%, Hercules II 31%.

How many goals are expected in CD Roda vs Hercules II?

The model expects 2.02 goals (CD Roda 1.07 · Hercules II 0.95), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Roda vs Hercules II?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.