Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 14/11, 17:00

Prediction: CD Bunol vs Acero

Team pages: CD Bunol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.15Total

CD Bunol1.19

Acero0.96

1X2

41% 31% 29%

CD Bunol Draw Acero

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Bunol 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDLLLWWD

Acero 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

LDWDDDDWDW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Bunol 1512 · Acero 1528

	CD Bunol	Draw	Acero
Our model	40%	32%	28%
Market	41%	30%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 13.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Bunol	Acero
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.3 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/33/44%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.7	0.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.7 / 0.2	6.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
15:47 +22’	2.20	3.00	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	10	8	0	2	15	7	24
2	Levante B	10	5	4	1	15	4	19
3	Hercules II	9	4	4	1	11	7	16
4	Torrent C.F.	9	5	1	3	15	9	16
5	Acero	10	3	6	1	11	8	15
6	Crevillente	10	3	5	2	13	12	14
7	Eldense B	10	3	4	3	11	8	13
8	UD Vall De Uxo	9	3	4	2	10	7	13
9	CD Roda	9	3	3	3	11	11	12
10	CD Bunol	9	3	3	3	10	12	12
11	Ontinyent	10	3	2	5	13	13	11
12	Atletico Saguntino	9	3	2	4	13	15	11
13	Jove Espanol	9	2	4	3	10	15	10
14	Atzeneta	9	1	6	2	8	10	9
15	Athletic Torrellano	9	2	2	5	9	15	8
15	Utiel	10	1	5	4	9	15	8
17	SC Torrevieja CF	10	2	2	6	10	18	8
18	Soneja	9	2	1	6	8	16	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Bunol	Acero
Utiel	3-3 D	1-1 D
UD Vall De Uxo	2-0 W	2-1 W
Crevillente	1-0 W	0-1 L
Torrent C.F.	0-1 L	2-1 W
Eldense B	1-1 D	1-1 D
Atzeneta	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Bunol (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Bunol

WWDDLLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	2-2	3-3	4	4	D
31/10	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	1	7	W
25/10	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	6	9	W
09/10	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-3	1-3	8	7	L
04/10	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	2	10	L
27/09	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
20/09	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
12/09	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
05/09	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
09/05	UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-0	–	–	W

Acero

LDWDDDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-1	5	9	W
01/11	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
25/10	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	–	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	2	8	D
10/10	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	3	9	D
26/09	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
19/09	SC Torrevieja CF Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
12/09	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	3	5	D
05/09	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Bunol vs Acero?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Bunol win (41%). Probabilities: CD Bunol 41%, draw 31%, Acero 29%.

How many goals are expected in CD Bunol vs Acero?

The model expects 2.15 goals (CD Bunol 1.19 · Acero 0.96), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Bunol vs Acero?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.