Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 14/11, 17:30

Prediction: Villarreal C vs Athletic Torrellano

Team pages: Villarreal C · Athletic Torrellano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Villarreal C1.87

Athletic Torrellano0.81

1X2

62% 23% 15%

Villarreal C Draw Athletic Torrellano

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Villarreal C 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Athletic Torrellano 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Villarreal C 2–2–2 Athletic Torrellano (6 last)

Villarreal C2-0Athletic Torrellano
Athletic Torrellano3-2Villarreal C
Athletic Torrellano0-0Villarreal C
Villarreal C2-2Athletic Torrellano
Villarreal C1-0Athletic Torrellano
Athletic Torrellano1-0Villarreal C

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Villarreal C 1567 · Athletic Torrellano 1467

	Villarreal C	Draw	Athletic Torrellano
Our model	61%	24%	15%
Market	62%	22%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villarreal C (rating 1567 vs 1467).
Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Villarreal C	Athletic Torrellano
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.7	0.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/56/11%	11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	2.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.1 / 0.3	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.00

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.02

2 (+1.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:00 +9’	1.44	4.00	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Villarreal C 2–2–2 Athletic Torrellano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Villarreal C	2-0	Athletic Torrellano
11/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Athletic Torrellano	3-2 HT 1-1	Villarreal C
30/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Athletic Torrellano	0-0 HT 0-0	Villarreal C
16/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Villarreal C	2-2 HT 1-1	Athletic Torrellano
11/05/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Villarreal C	1-0	Athletic Torrellano
21/01/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Athletic Torrellano	1-0 HT 0-0	Villarreal C

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	10	8	0	2	15	7	24
2	Levante B	10	5	4	1	15	4	19
3	Hercules II	9	4	4	1	11	7	16
4	Torrent C.F.	9	5	1	3	15	9	16
5	Acero	10	3	6	1	11	8	15
6	Crevillente	10	3	5	2	13	12	14
7	Eldense B	10	3	4	3	11	8	13
8	UD Vall De Uxo	9	3	4	2	10	7	13
9	CD Roda	9	3	3	3	11	11	12
10	CD Bunol	9	3	3	3	10	12	12
11	Ontinyent	10	3	2	5	13	13	11
12	Atletico Saguntino	9	3	2	4	13	15	11
13	Jove Espanol	9	2	4	3	10	15	10
14	Atzeneta	9	1	6	2	8	10	9
15	Athletic Torrellano	9	2	2	5	9	15	8
15	Utiel	10	1	5	4	9	15	8
17	SC Torrevieja CF	10	2	2	6	10	18	8
18	Soneja	9	2	1	6	8	16	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Villarreal C	Athletic Torrellano
Ontinyent	2-1 W	1-3 L
Levante B	0-2 L	1-1 D
Atletico Saguntino	1-0 W	2-1 W
Soneja	3-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Villarreal C (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Villarreal C

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/10	SC Torrevieja CF Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	2-1	7	8	W
25/10	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
17/10	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
09/10	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	3-0	3-1	4	7	W
04/10	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
26/09	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-2	7	5	L
20/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	3	12	W
13/09	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
06/09	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	3-0	1	11	W

Athletic Torrellano

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-3	3	6	L
01/11	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
25/10	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	2-1	9	9	W
11/10	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
03/10	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	4	9	D
27/09	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
19/09	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	1-3	5	4	L
13/09	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
06/09	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
09/05	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Villarreal C vs Athletic Torrellano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Villarreal C win (62%). Probabilities: Villarreal C 62%, draw 23%, Athletic Torrellano 15%.

How many goals are expected in Villarreal C vs Athletic Torrellano?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Villarreal C 1.87 · Athletic Torrellano 0.81), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Villarreal C vs Athletic Torrellano?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.