Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 08/11, 17:00

Prediction: Utiel vs CD Bunol

Team pages: Utiel · CD Bunol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.13Total

Utiel1.05

CD Bunol1.08

1X2

34% 30% 36%

Utiel Draw CD Bunol

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Utiel 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DWDDLDLLLD

CD Bunol 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDDLLLWW

Head-to-head

Utiel 0–2 CD Bunol (2 last)

CD Bunol1-0Utiel
Utiel0-1CD Bunol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Utiel 1436 · CD Bunol 1508

	Utiel	Draw	CD Bunol
Our model	33%	32%	35%
Market	35%	29%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Bunol (rating 1436 vs 1508).
H2H favours CD Bunol: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Utiel	CD Bunol
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.4	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/63/38%	25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.7	1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.10

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.55▼	Bet365 2.55
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.30 → 2.45▲	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:30 +6’	2.75	3.10	2.30
01:30 +14’	2.55▼	3.10	2.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Utiel 0–0–2 CD Bunol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Bunol	1-0 HT 0-0	Utiel
14/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Utiel	0-1	CD Bunol

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	9	8	0	1	15	6	24
2	Levante B	9	5	3	1	15	4	18
3	Hercules II	8	3	4	1	10	7	13
4	UD Vall De Uxo	8	3	4	1	9	5	13
5	Torrent C.F.	8	4	1	3	12	8	13
6	CD Roda	8	3	3	2	10	8	12
7	Acero	9	2	6	1	9	7	12
8	CD Bunol	8	3	2	3	7	9	11
9	Atletico Saguntino	8	3	2	3	13	12	11
10	Crevillente	9	2	5	2	10	10	11
11	Eldense B	9	2	4	3	8	8	10
12	Ontinyent	8	2	2	4	10	11	8
13	SC Torrevieja CF	9	2	2	5	8	15	8
14	Atzeneta	8	1	5	2	8	10	8
15	Athletic Torrellano	8	2	2	4	8	12	8
16	Jove Espanol	8	1	4	3	9	15	7
17	Soneja	8	2	1	5	8	15	7
18	Utiel	8	0	4	4	5	12	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Utiel	CD Bunol
Crevillente	1-1 D	1-0 W
Villarreal C	0-1 L	1-3 L
Levante B	0-3 L	0-0 D
UD Vall De Uxo	0-0 D	2-0 W
UD Alzira	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Bunol (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Utiel

DWDDLDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
25/10	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
09/10	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-3	7	6	L
04/10	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	2-3	8	6	L
27/09	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-1	10	1	D
20/09	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-2	6	8	L
12/09	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	3	5	D
06/09	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
09/05	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
02/05	UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6	–	2-2	–	–	D

CD Bunol

LWWDDLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	1	7	W
25/10	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	6	9	W
09/10	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-3	1-3	8	7	L
04/10	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	2	10	L
27/09	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
20/09	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
12/09	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
05/09	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
09/05	UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/05	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Utiel vs CD Bunol?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Bunol win (36%). Probabilities: Utiel 34%, draw 30%, CD Bunol 36%.

How many goals are expected in Utiel vs CD Bunol?

The model expects 2.13 goals (Utiel 1.05 · CD Bunol 1.08), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Utiel vs CD Bunol?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.