Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 08/11, 12:00

Prediction: Athletic Torrellano vs Ontinyent

Team pages: Athletic Torrellano · Ontinyent

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.24Total

Athletic Torrellano1.24

Ontinyent1

1X2

41% 30% 29%

Athletic Torrellano Draw Ontinyent

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Athletic Torrellano 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Ontinyent 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Athletic Torrellano 2–1–3 Ontinyent (6 last)

Athletic Torrellano1-0Ontinyent
Ontinyent0-1Athletic Torrellano
Athletic Torrellano0-1Ontinyent
Ontinyent1-1Athletic Torrellano
Athletic Torrellano2-3Ontinyent
Ontinyent2-0Athletic Torrellano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Athletic Torrellano 1463 · Ontinyent 1459

	Athletic Torrellano	Draw	Ontinyent
Our model	40%	31%	29%
Market	41%	29%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ontinyent: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Athletic Torrellano	Ontinyent
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.7	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/38/50%	11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.9	1.5 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	6.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:16 +20’	2.15	3.10	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Athletic Torrellano 2–1–3 Ontinyent

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Athletic Torrellano	1-0 HT 1-0	Ontinyent
06/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Ontinyent	0-1 HT 0-0	Athletic Torrellano
27/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Athletic Torrellano	0-1 HT 0-1	Ontinyent
15/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Ontinyent	1-1 HT 0-1	Athletic Torrellano
02/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Athletic Torrellano	2-3 HT 1-2	Ontinyent
15/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 6	Ontinyent	2-0	Athletic Torrellano

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	9	8	0	1	15	6	24
2	Levante B	9	5	3	1	15	4	18
3	Hercules II	8	3	4	1	10	7	13
4	UD Vall De Uxo	8	3	4	1	9	5	13
5	Torrent C.F.	8	4	1	3	12	8	13
6	CD Roda	8	3	3	2	10	8	12
7	Acero	9	2	6	1	9	7	12
8	CD Bunol	8	3	2	3	7	9	11
9	Atletico Saguntino	8	3	2	3	13	12	11
10	Crevillente	9	2	5	2	10	10	11
11	Eldense B	9	2	4	3	8	8	10
12	Ontinyent	8	2	2	4	10	11	8
13	SC Torrevieja CF	9	2	2	5	8	15	8
14	Atzeneta	8	1	5	2	8	10	8
15	Athletic Torrellano	8	2	2	4	8	12	8
16	Jove Espanol	8	1	4	3	9	15	7
17	Soneja	8	2	1	5	8	15	7
18	Utiel	8	0	4	4	5	12	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Athletic Torrellano	Ontinyent
Levante B	1-1 D	0-2 L
Atletico Saguntino	2-1 W	1-0 W
Villarreal C	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Athletic Torrellano

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
25/10	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	2-1	9	9	W
11/10	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
03/10	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	4	9	D
27/09	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
19/09	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	1-3	5	4	L
13/09	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
06/09	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
09/05	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-2	–	–	L
02/05	La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-3	–	–	L

Ontinyent

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-2	4	11	D
25/10	SC Torrevieja CF Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
10/10	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	2-3	12	8	L
04/10	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-2	1	7	L
27/09	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
20/09	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-2	2	9	L
13/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	1	9	W
06/09	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
09/05	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	0	3	L
02/05	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Athletic Torrellano vs Ontinyent?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Athletic Torrellano win (41%). Probabilities: Athletic Torrellano 41%, draw 30%, Ontinyent 29%.

How many goals are expected in Athletic Torrellano vs Ontinyent?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Athletic Torrellano 1.24 · Ontinyent 1), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Athletic Torrellano vs Ontinyent?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.