Prediction: ASD Trastevere vs Paganese
Team pages: ASD Trastevere · Paganese
- Paganese2-1ASD Trastevere
- ASD Trastevere2-3Paganese
| ASD Trastevere | Draw | Paganese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paganese (rating 1506 vs 1547).
- H2H favours Paganese: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASD Trastevere | Paganese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/17/33% | 57/29/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 6.2 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Trastevere 0–0–2 Paganese
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/25 Italy Serie D | Paganese | 2-1 | ASD Trastevere |
| 13/10/24 Italy Serie D | ASD Trastevere | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Paganese |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Nissa FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Igea Virtus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Sambiase | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vibonese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | ASD CastrumFavara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | ASD Ragusa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 11 | Vigor Lamezia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | Città di Gela | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Modica | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Siracusa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 | Trapani | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASD Trastevere
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Polisportiva Ossese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Gelbison Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | US Venafro Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Monastir Kosmoto Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Anzio Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Cynthialbalonga Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Olbia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Monastir Kosmoto Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 02/04 | Scafatese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Paganese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 12/09 | USD Latte Dolce Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Unipomezia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Martina Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Citta di Fasano Italy Serie D |
0-3 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | SS Nola 1925 Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | FBC Gravina Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 29/03 | ASD Ferrandina 17890 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/03 | Martina Italy Serie D |
3-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASD Trastevere vs Paganese?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Paganese win (38%). Probabilities: ASD Trastevere 34%, draw 28%, Paganese 38%.
How many goals are expected in ASD Trastevere vs Paganese?
The model expects 2.73 goals (ASD Trastevere 1.33 · Paganese 1.4), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in ASD Trastevere vs Paganese?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.